Rising inventory levels across the DC Metro area, fueled by federal employment uncertainties and policy shifts, have tempered upward price pressure and anchored trader consensus around the 559-566k band at 42.5% implied probability. April 2026 data showed median sold prices at $661,000 with a modest 0.9% year-over-year increase, while Zillow's Home Value Index hovered near 580k in late April, reflecting softening demand amid elevated mortgage rates and growing supply. With May 31 resolution just weeks away, adjacent bands at 20.0% and 19.0% underscore the tight range expected absent major shifts in labor signals or rate trends. Trader sentiment, backed by real capital, prices in limited near-term volatility given these macro and local dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?
559 - 566k 42%
553 - 559k 31%
566 - 572k 24%
572 - 579k 10%
<553k
7%
553 - 559k
22%
559 - 566k
44%
566 - 572k
22%
572 - 579k
10%
579 - 585k
7%
585 - 598k
7%
>598k
7%
559 - 566k 42%
553 - 559k 31%
566 - 572k 24%
572 - 579k 10%
<553k
7%
553 - 559k
22%
559 - 566k
44%
566 - 572k
22%
572 - 579k
10%
579 - 585k
7%
585 - 598k
7%
>598k
7%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
市场开放时间: May 4, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rising inventory levels across the DC Metro area, fueled by federal employment uncertainties and policy shifts, have tempered upward price pressure and anchored trader consensus around the 559-566k band at 42.5% implied probability. April 2026 data showed median sold prices at $661,000 with a modest 0.9% year-over-year increase, while Zillow's Home Value Index hovered near 580k in late April, reflecting softening demand amid elevated mortgage rates and growing supply. With May 31 resolution just weeks away, adjacent bands at 20.0% and 19.0% underscore the tight range expected absent major shifts in labor signals or rate trends. Trader sentiment, backed by real capital, prices in limited near-term volatility given these macro and local dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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