Anthropic holds a commanding lead in trader sentiment for the best math AI model by end of May, driven by its latest Claude releases posting top scores on key benchmarks such as MATH-500 and AIME 2025 competition problems. These gains stem from targeted improvements in multi-step reasoning chains and extended thinking modes, which have widened its edge over Google’s Gemini 3 Pro and OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants in recent evaluations. Traders are also weighing ongoing frontier model updates, with Anthropic’s consistent outperformance in olympiad-level math tasks reinforcing the current implied odds. Upcoming benchmark releases or new model drops from competitors could still shift positioning before the May resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic 69%
Google 17%
OpenAI 12%
xAI <1%
$120,915 交易量
$120,915 交易量
2026-05-31
Anthropic
69%
17%
OpenAI
12%
xAI
1%
ByteDance
1%
Z.ai
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Meta
1%
Baidu
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 69%
Google 17%
OpenAI 12%
xAI <1%
$120,915 交易量
$120,915 交易量
2026-05-31
Anthropic
$19,762 交易量
69%
$11,581 交易量
17%
OpenAI
$19,317 交易量
12%
xAI
$9,193 交易量
1%
ByteDance
$7,209 交易量
1%
Z.ai
$7,004 交易量
1%
DeepSeek
$6,880 交易量
1%
Meta
$6,837 交易量
1%
Baidu
$7,254 交易量
<1%
Alibaba
$7,515 交易量
<1%
Moonshot
$8,279 交易量
<1%
Amazon
$2,116 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$4,546 交易量
<1%
Meituan
$1,909 交易量
<1%
Microsoft
$1,512 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds a commanding lead in trader sentiment for the best math AI model by end of May, driven by its latest Claude releases posting top scores on key benchmarks such as MATH-500 and AIME 2025 competition problems. These gains stem from targeted improvements in multi-step reasoning chains and extended thinking modes, which have widened its edge over Google’s Gemini 3 Pro and OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants in recent evaluations. Traders are also weighing ongoing frontier model updates, with Anthropic’s consistent outperformance in olympiad-level math tasks reinforcing the current implied odds. Upcoming benchmark releases or new model drops from competitors could still shift positioning before the May resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
交易量
$120,915结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds a commanding lead in trader sentiment for the best math AI model by end of May, driven by its latest Claude releases posting top scores on key benchmarks such as MATH-500 and AIME 2025 competition problems. These gains stem from targeted improvements in multi-step reasoning chains and extended thinking modes, which have widened its edge over Google’s Gemini 3 Pro and OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants in recent evaluations. Traders are also weighing ongoing frontier model updates, with Anthropic’s consistent outperformance in olympiad-level math tasks reinforcing the current implied odds. Upcoming benchmark releases or new model drops from competitors could still shift positioning before the May resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$120,915结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds a commanding lead in trader sentiment for the best math AI model by end of May, driven by its latest Claude releases posting top scores on key benchmarks such as MATH-500 and AIME 2025 competition problems. These gains stem from targeted improvements in multi-step reasoning chains and extended thinking modes, which have widened its edge over Google’s Gemini 3 Pro and OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants in recent evaluations. Traders are also weighing ongoing frontier model updates, with Anthropic’s consistent outperformance in olympiad-level math tasks reinforcing the current implied odds. Upcoming benchmark releases or new model drops from competitors could still shift positioning before the May resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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