Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the primary driver behind traders assigning a 64 percent implied probability that President Trump faces impeachment before his term concludes in January 2029. With Republicans holding a slim majority, recent Democratic resolutions—including multiple articles introduced by Representatives Al Green and John Larson—have been tabled without advancing to committee or floor consideration. Polls showing majority public support for impeachment proceedings amid foreign policy disputes have sustained pressure, yet House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries has signaled it would not be an immediate priority even if Democrats prevail. A chamber flip would lower procedural barriers, while sustained Republican majorities would preserve the current impasse until at least 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$62,328 交易量
$62,328 交易量
是
$62,328 交易量
$62,328 交易量
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the primary driver behind traders assigning a 64 percent implied probability that President Trump faces impeachment before his term concludes in January 2029. With Republicans holding a slim majority, recent Democratic resolutions—including multiple articles introduced by Representatives Al Green and John Larson—have been tabled without advancing to committee or floor consideration. Polls showing majority public support for impeachment proceedings amid foreign policy disputes have sustained pressure, yet House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries has signaled it would not be an immediate priority even if Democrats prevail. A chamber flip would lower procedural barriers, while sustained Republican majorities would preserve the current impasse until at least 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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