Recent upward revisions in Brazil’s 2026 IPCA forecasts, now hovering near 4.9 percent in the Central Bank’s Focus survey after nine consecutive weekly increases, have anchored trader sentiment around the 5.00–5.49 percent range that commands the highest market-implied probability. Persistent services inflation, combined with elevated global energy prices stemming from Middle East supply disruptions, has offset earlier disinflationary momentum and pushed expectations closer to the upper bound of the 1.5–4.5 percent target band. With the Selic policy rate still elevated following recent 25-basis-point cuts, monetary tightening is expected to moderate but not fully neutralize these pressures ahead of the year-end print. This dynamic has produced closely matched probabilities across the 4.50–5.99 percent intervals, reflecting uncertainty over the duration of external shocks and the pace of any further de-anchoring in longer-horizon expectations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড5.00-5.49% 21.0%
4.50-4.99% 11.5%
5.50-5.99% 7.3%
4.00-4.49% 7.2%
$58,780 Vol.
$58,780 Vol.
Jan 12, 2027
<3.00%
<1%
3.00-3.49%
6%
3.50-3.99%
3%
4.00-4.49%
7%
4.50-4.99%
12%
5.00-5.49%
21%
5.50-5.99%
7%
6.00-6.49%
5%
6.50-6.99%
5%
7.00%+
5%
5.00-5.49% 21.0%
4.50-4.99% 11.5%
5.50-5.99% 7.3%
4.00-4.49% 7.2%
$58,780 Vol.
$58,780 Vol.
Jan 12, 2027
<3.00%
$4,315 Vol.
<1%
3.00-3.49%
$4,375 Vol.
6%
3.50-3.99%
$10,425 Vol.
3%
4.00-4.49%
$7,727 Vol.
7%
4.50-4.99%
$7,027 Vol.
12%
5.00-5.49%
$6,110 Vol.
21%
5.50-5.99%
$5,700 Vol.
7%
6.00-6.49%
$4,675 Vol.
5%
6.50-6.99%
$4,863 Vol.
5%
7.00%+
$3,561 Vol.
5%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent upward revisions in Brazil’s 2026 IPCA forecasts, now hovering near 4.9 percent in the Central Bank’s Focus survey after nine consecutive weekly increases, have anchored trader sentiment around the 5.00–5.49 percent range that commands the highest market-implied probability. Persistent services inflation, combined with elevated global energy prices stemming from Middle East supply disruptions, has offset earlier disinflationary momentum and pushed expectations closer to the upper bound of the 1.5–4.5 percent target band. With the Selic policy rate still elevated following recent 25-basis-point cuts, monetary tightening is expected to moderate but not fully neutralize these pressures ahead of the year-end print. This dynamic has produced closely matched probabilities across the 4.50–5.99 percent intervals, reflecting uncertainty over the duration of external shocks and the pace of any further de-anchoring in longer-horizon expectations.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
ভলিউম
$58,780শেষ তারিখ
Jan 12, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent upward revisions in Brazil’s 2026 IPCA forecasts, now hovering near 4.9 percent in the Central Bank’s Focus survey after nine consecutive weekly increases, have anchored trader sentiment around the 5.00–5.49 percent range that commands the highest market-implied probability. Persistent services inflation, combined with elevated global energy prices stemming from Middle East supply disruptions, has offset earlier disinflationary momentum and pushed expectations closer to the upper bound of the 1.5–4.5 percent target band. With the Selic policy rate still elevated following recent 25-basis-point cuts, monetary tightening is expected to moderate but not fully neutralize these pressures ahead of the year-end print. This dynamic has produced closely matched probabilities across the 4.50–5.99 percent intervals, reflecting uncertainty over the duration of external shocks and the pace of any further de-anchoring in longer-horizon expectations.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
ভলিউম
$58,780শেষ তারিখ
Jan 12, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent upward revisions in Brazil’s 2026 IPCA forecasts, now hovering near 4.9 percent in the Central Bank’s Focus survey after nine consecutive weekly increases, have anchored trader sentiment around the 5.00–5.49 percent range that commands the highest market-implied probability. Persistent services inflation, combined with elevated global energy prices stemming from Middle East supply disruptions, has offset earlier disinflationary momentum and pushed expectations closer to the upper bound of the 1.5–4.5 percent target band. With the Selic policy rate still elevated following recent 25-basis-point cuts, monetary tightening is expected to moderate but not fully neutralize these pressures ahead of the year-end print. This dynamic has produced closely matched probabilities across the 4.50–5.99 percent intervals, reflecting uncertainty over the duration of external shocks and the pace of any further de-anchoring in longer-horizon expectations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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