**Renan Santos leads trader expectations for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, followed by Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado.** Lula (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) dominate first-round polling aggregates near 38–46% each, leaving a fragmented field for the remaining spots. Santos, the Mission Party founder and former MBL activist, has built notable support among younger voters through digital outreach and anti-establishment messaging, with recent surveys placing him in the low-to-mid single digits. Cury (Avante), a psychiatrist and author, has shown faster recent gains in some polls, reaching 6–11% amid social media expansion. Caiado (PSD), the ex-Governor of Goiás with prior presidential experience, registers around 3–5% but has not matched the others’ late momentum. Market pricing aligns with Santos’s consistent youth base and campaign visibility heading into the final weeks, while acknowledging the narrow margins and volatility typical of the lower tier.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRenan Santos 52%
Augusto Cury 31.5%
Ronaldo Caiado 12%
Romeu Zema 1.8%
$1,270,313 Vol.
$1,270,313 Vol.
Renan Santos
52%
Augusto Cury
32%
Ronaldo Caiado
12%
Romeu Zema
2%
Flávio Bolsonaro
<1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Fernando Haddad
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos 52%
Augusto Cury 31.5%
Ronaldo Caiado 12%
Romeu Zema 1.8%
$1,270,313 Vol.
$1,270,313 Vol.
Renan Santos
52%
Augusto Cury
32%
Ronaldo Caiado
12%
Romeu Zema
2%
Flávio Bolsonaro
<1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Fernando Haddad
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
রেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...**Renan Santos leads trader expectations for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, followed by Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado.** Lula (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) dominate first-round polling aggregates near 38–46% each, leaving a fragmented field for the remaining spots. Santos, the Mission Party founder and former MBL activist, has built notable support among younger voters through digital outreach and anti-establishment messaging, with recent surveys placing him in the low-to-mid single digits. Cury (Avante), a psychiatrist and author, has shown faster recent gains in some polls, reaching 6–11% amid social media expansion. Caiado (PSD), the ex-Governor of Goiás with prior presidential experience, registers around 3–5% but has not matched the others’ late momentum. Market pricing aligns with Santos’s consistent youth base and campaign visibility heading into the final weeks, while acknowledging the narrow margins and volatility typical of the lower tier.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডসম্পর্কিত
ফ্লাভিও বোলসোনারো কি ২০২৬ ব্রাজিলিয়ান প্রেসিডেন্ট নির্বাচনের প্রথম দফায় দ্বিতীয় স্থানে শেষ করবেন?
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা