Elevated Selic rates near 15 percent have tightened credit conditions and curbed domestic demand, anchoring trader consensus on a moderate Q1 2026 GDP print in the 1.9 percent–2.2 percent range at 52.5 percent implied probability. Fiscal measures such as minimum-wage increases and expanded credit programs have supported March retail sales and April PMI readings above 52, while favorable agricultural base effects and resilient external demand provide additional lift. Full-year consensus forecasts from the IMF and Central Bank Focus survey remain in the 1.7 percent–1.9 percent band, consistent with sequential Q1 acceleration followed by later moderation. The IBGE preliminary release scheduled for May 29 stands as the key near-term catalyst that could shift pricing ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডBrazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?
Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?
1.9%–2.2% 52.7%
1.5%–1.8% 37%
2.3%–2.6% 5.1%
≥2.7% 4.7%
$20,793 Vol.
$20,793 Vol.
May 29, 2026
<0.7%
3%
0.7%–1.0%
2%
1.1%–1.4%
3%
1.5%–1.8%
32%
1.9%–2.2%
53%
2.3%–2.6%
17%
≥2.7%
10%
1.9%–2.2% 52.7%
1.5%–1.8% 37%
2.3%–2.6% 5.1%
≥2.7% 4.7%
$20,793 Vol.
$20,793 Vol.
May 29, 2026
<0.7%
$14,389 Vol.
3%
0.7%–1.0%
$660 Vol.
2%
1.1%–1.4%
$506 Vol.
3%
1.5%–1.8%
$1,045 Vol.
32%
1.9%–2.2%
$1,635 Vol.
53%
2.3%–2.6%
$732 Vol.
17%
≥2.7%
$1,827 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on May 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlElevated Selic rates near 15 percent have tightened credit conditions and curbed domestic demand, anchoring trader consensus on a moderate Q1 2026 GDP print in the 1.9 percent–2.2 percent range at 52.5 percent implied probability. Fiscal measures such as minimum-wage increases and expanded credit programs have supported March retail sales and April PMI readings above 52, while favorable agricultural base effects and resilient external demand provide additional lift. Full-year consensus forecasts from the IMF and Central Bank Focus survey remain in the 1.7 percent–1.9 percent band, consistent with sequential Q1 acceleration followed by later moderation. The IBGE preliminary release scheduled for May 29 stands as the key near-term catalyst that could shift pricing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on May 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 23, 2026, 7:16 PM ET
ভলিউম
$20,793শেষ তারিখ
May 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 23, 2026, 7:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on May 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlElevated Selic rates near 15 percent have tightened credit conditions and curbed domestic demand, anchoring trader consensus on a moderate Q1 2026 GDP print in the 1.9 percent–2.2 percent range at 52.5 percent implied probability. Fiscal measures such as minimum-wage increases and expanded credit programs have supported March retail sales and April PMI readings above 52, while favorable agricultural base effects and resilient external demand provide additional lift. Full-year consensus forecasts from the IMF and Central Bank Focus survey remain in the 1.7 percent–1.9 percent band, consistent with sequential Q1 acceleration followed by later moderation. The IBGE preliminary release scheduled for May 29 stands as the key near-term catalyst that could shift pricing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on May 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
ভলিউম
$20,793শেষ তারিখ
May 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 23, 2026, 7:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated Selic rates near 15 percent have tightened credit conditions and curbed domestic demand, anchoring trader consensus on a moderate Q1 2026 GDP print in the 1.9 percent–2.2 percent range at 52.5 percent implied probability. Fiscal measures such as minimum-wage increases and expanded credit programs have supported March retail sales and April PMI readings above 52, while favorable agricultural base effects and resilient external demand provide additional lift. Full-year consensus forecasts from the IMF and Central Bank Focus survey remain in the 1.7 percent–1.9 percent band, consistent with sequential Q1 acceleration followed by later moderation. The IBGE preliminary release scheduled for May 29 stands as the key near-term catalyst that could shift pricing ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা