The closely matched market-implied odds between 1.5-2.0% and 0.0-0.5% GDP growth for Mexico in Q2 2026 stem primarily from the 0.8% quarter-over-quarter contraction recorded in Q1 2026, which produced a negative statistical carryover amid softening industrial output, services, and household consumption. Traders weigh this weak base against offsetting supports including resilient U.S. export demand, ongoing nearshoring investment flows, and a stable labor market. Banxico’s May reduction of the policy rate to 6.50% is expected to ease financial conditions modestly, while the June-July FIFA World Cup events could lift consumption. The competitive pricing underscores uncertainty over whether domestic demand can reaccelerate enough to overcome the first-quarter drag before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?
Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?
-0.5-0.0% 51%
0.5-1.0% 48%
1.5-2.0% 46%
1.0-1.5% 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 30, 2026
<-0.5%
25%
-0.5-0.0%
28%
0.0-0.5%
46%
0.5-1.0%
27%
1.0-1.5%
26%
1.5-2.0%
46%
2.0-2.5%
12%
2.5%+
12%
-0.5-0.0% 51%
0.5-1.0% 48%
1.5-2.0% 46%
1.0-1.5% 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 30, 2026
<-0.5%
$4 Vol.
25%
-0.5-0.0%
$24 Vol.
28%
0.0-0.5%
$11 Vol.
46%
0.5-1.0%
$6 Vol.
27%
1.0-1.5%
$2 Vol.
26%
1.5-2.0%
$0 Vol.
46%
2.0-2.5%
$0 Vol.
12%
2.5%+
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.The closely matched market-implied odds between 1.5-2.0% and 0.0-0.5% GDP growth for Mexico in Q2 2026 stem primarily from the 0.8% quarter-over-quarter contraction recorded in Q1 2026, which produced a negative statistical carryover amid softening industrial output, services, and household consumption. Traders weigh this weak base against offsetting supports including resilient U.S. export demand, ongoing nearshoring investment flows, and a stable labor market. Banxico’s May reduction of the policy rate to 6.50% is expected to ease financial conditions modestly, while the June-July FIFA World Cup events could lift consumption. The competitive pricing underscores uncertainty over whether domestic demand can reaccelerate enough to overcome the first-quarter drag before resolution.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 4, 2026, 11:35 AM ET
ভলিউম
$47শেষ তারিখ
Jul 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 4, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.The closely matched market-implied odds between 1.5-2.0% and 0.0-0.5% GDP growth for Mexico in Q2 2026 stem primarily from the 0.8% quarter-over-quarter contraction recorded in Q1 2026, which produced a negative statistical carryover amid softening industrial output, services, and household consumption. Traders weigh this weak base against offsetting supports including resilient U.S. export demand, ongoing nearshoring investment flows, and a stable labor market. Banxico’s May reduction of the policy rate to 6.50% is expected to ease financial conditions modestly, while the June-July FIFA World Cup events could lift consumption. The competitive pricing underscores uncertainty over whether domestic demand can reaccelerate enough to overcome the first-quarter drag before resolution.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$47শেষ তারিখ
Jul 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 4, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market-implied odds between 1.5-2.0% and 0.0-0.5% GDP growth for Mexico in Q2 2026 stem primarily from the 0.8% quarter-over-quarter contraction recorded in Q1 2026, which produced a negative statistical carryover amid softening industrial output, services, and household consumption. Traders weigh this weak base against offsetting supports including resilient U.S. export demand, ongoing nearshoring investment flows, and a stable labor market. Banxico’s May reduction of the policy rate to 6.50% is expected to ease financial conditions modestly, while the June-July FIFA World Cup events could lift consumption. The competitive pricing underscores uncertainty over whether domestic demand can reaccelerate enough to overcome the first-quarter drag before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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