Inflation pressures from elevated energy prices linked to Middle East tensions have shifted expectations toward ECB tightening in 2026, underpinning the 92% implied probability for at least one rate hike. April euro-area inflation reached 3%, exceeding the 2% target and prompting revised staff projections for 2026 headline inflation around 2.6-2.7%. The Governing Council held key rates steady at its April 30 meeting but signaled data-dependent tightening as a live option, with officials such as Isabel Schnabel highlighting upside risks. Weak Q1 GDP growth at 0.1% adds stagflation concerns, yet persistent price pressures outweigh growth worries. Markets now price in possible 25-basis-point increases starting in June, reversing earlier cut forecasts from institutions like Morgan Stanley. The June 11 decision and subsequent energy price trajectory remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডECB rate hike in 2026?
ECB rate hike in 2026?
$114,365 Vol.
$114,365 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$114,365 Vol.
$114,365 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Inflation pressures from elevated energy prices linked to Middle East tensions have shifted expectations toward ECB tightening in 2026, underpinning the 92% implied probability for at least one rate hike. April euro-area inflation reached 3%, exceeding the 2% target and prompting revised staff projections for 2026 headline inflation around 2.6-2.7%. The Governing Council held key rates steady at its April 30 meeting but signaled data-dependent tightening as a live option, with officials such as Isabel Schnabel highlighting upside risks. Weak Q1 GDP growth at 0.1% adds stagflation concerns, yet persistent price pressures outweigh growth worries. Markets now price in possible 25-basis-point increases starting in June, reversing earlier cut forecasts from institutions like Morgan Stanley. The June 11 decision and subsequent energy price trajectory remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$114,365শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Inflation pressures from elevated energy prices linked to Middle East tensions have shifted expectations toward ECB tightening in 2026, underpinning the 92% implied probability for at least one rate hike. April euro-area inflation reached 3%, exceeding the 2% target and prompting revised staff projections for 2026 headline inflation around 2.6-2.7%. The Governing Council held key rates steady at its April 30 meeting but signaled data-dependent tightening as a live option, with officials such as Isabel Schnabel highlighting upside risks. Weak Q1 GDP growth at 0.1% adds stagflation concerns, yet persistent price pressures outweigh growth worries. Markets now price in possible 25-basis-point increases starting in June, reversing earlier cut forecasts from institutions like Morgan Stanley. The June 11 decision and subsequent energy price trajectory remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$114,365শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Inflation pressures from elevated energy prices linked to Middle East tensions have shifted expectations toward ECB tightening in 2026, underpinning the 92% implied probability for at least one rate hike. April euro-area inflation reached 3%, exceeding the 2% target and prompting revised staff projections for 2026 headline inflation around 2.6-2.7%. The Governing Council held key rates steady at its April 30 meeting but signaled data-dependent tightening as a live option, with officials such as Isabel Schnabel highlighting upside risks. Weak Q1 GDP growth at 0.1% adds stagflation concerns, yet persistent price pressures outweigh growth worries. Markets now price in possible 25-basis-point increases starting in June, reversing earlier cut forecasts from institutions like Morgan Stanley. The June 11 decision and subsequent energy price trajectory remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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