Recent polling from July 2026 shows ex-governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading Senate intentions in Espírito Santo with 24-35%, leaving a fragmented contest for second among Rose de Freitas (MDB), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), and others. High undecided shares near 70% in spontaneous responses, combined with 11 registered candidates and shifting alliances ahead of the October 4 vote, sustain tight implied probabilities around 40-50% for the leading second-place options. Late-campaign factors such as party ticket consolidations, targeted regional outreach in key municipalities, turnout differentials, and any high-profile endorsements or debates could consolidate support behind one contender and separate the market.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRenato Casagrande 44%
Sergio Meneguelli 44%
Evair de Melo 44%
Rose de Freitas 43%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Casagrande
44%
Sergio Meneguelli
44%
Evair de Melo
44%
Rose de Freitas
43%
Marcos do Val
43%
Professor Fabian
42%
Rodney Miranda
42%
Callegari
42%
Fabiano Contarato
42%
Leonardo Monjardim
42%
Maguinha Malta
41%
Renato Casagrande 44%
Sergio Meneguelli 44%
Evair de Melo 44%
Rose de Freitas 43%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Casagrande
$0 Vol.
44%
Sergio Meneguelli
$0 Vol.
44%
Evair de Melo
$0 Vol.
44%
Rose de Freitas
$0 Vol.
43%
Marcos do Val
$0 Vol.
43%
Professor Fabian
$0 Vol.
42%
Rodney Miranda
$0 Vol.
42%
Callegari
$0 Vol.
42%
Fabiano Contarato
$0 Vol.
42%
Leonardo Monjardim
$0 Vol.
42%
Maguinha Malta
$0 Vol.
41%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows ex-governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading Senate intentions in Espírito Santo with 24-35%, leaving a fragmented contest for second among Rose de Freitas (MDB), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), and others. High undecided shares near 70% in spontaneous responses, combined with 11 registered candidates and shifting alliances ahead of the October 4 vote, sustain tight implied probabilities around 40-50% for the leading second-place options. Late-campaign factors such as party ticket consolidations, targeted regional outreach in key municipalities, turnout differentials, and any high-profile endorsements or debates could consolidate support behind one contender and separate the market.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows ex-governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading Senate intentions in Espírito Santo with 24-35%, leaving a fragmented contest for second among Rose de Freitas (MDB), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), and others. High undecided shares near 70% in spontaneous responses, combined with 11 registered candidates and shifting alliances ahead of the October 4 vote, sustain tight implied probabilities around 40-50% for the leading second-place options. Late-campaign factors such as party ticket consolidations, targeted regional outreach in key municipalities, turnout differentials, and any high-profile endorsements or debates could consolidate support behind one contender and separate the market.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from July 2026 shows ex-governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading Senate intentions in Espírito Santo with 24-35%, leaving a fragmented contest for second among Rose de Freitas (MDB), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), and others. High undecided shares near 70% in spontaneous responses, combined with 11 registered candidates and shifting alliances ahead of the October 4 vote, sustain tight implied probabilities around 40-50% for the leading second-place options. Late-campaign factors such as party ticket consolidations, targeted regional outreach in key municipalities, turnout differentials, and any high-profile endorsements or debates could consolidate support behind one contender and separate the market.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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