Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the FOMC's steady 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range held at the April 29 meeting amid balanced risks. April CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—up from March's 3.3%—elevating hike odds from earlier lows, yet unemployment held steady at 4.3% with modest 115,000 nonfarm payroll gains signaling no overheating. The March dot plot projected funds toward low-3% by 2027, implying cuts over hikes, while 10-year Treasury yields near 4.46% indicate priced-in caution. Key catalysts ahead include June 16-17 FOMC and May CPI data, with persistent disinflation needed to avert policy reversal.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহ্যাঁ
$1,099,324 Vol.
$1,099,324 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
হ্যাঁ
$1,099,324 Vol.
$1,099,324 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the FOMC's steady 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range held at the April 29 meeting amid balanced risks. April CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—up from March's 3.3%—elevating hike odds from earlier lows, yet unemployment held steady at 4.3% with modest 115,000 nonfarm payroll gains signaling no overheating. The March dot plot projected funds toward low-3% by 2027, implying cuts over hikes, while 10-year Treasury yields near 4.46% indicate priced-in caution. Key catalysts ahead include June 16-17 FOMC and May CPI data, with persistent disinflation needed to avert policy reversal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,099,324শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the FOMC's steady 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range held at the April 29 meeting amid balanced risks. April CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—up from March's 3.3%—elevating hike odds from earlier lows, yet unemployment held steady at 4.3% with modest 115,000 nonfarm payroll gains signaling no overheating. The March dot plot projected funds toward low-3% by 2027, implying cuts over hikes, while 10-year Treasury yields near 4.46% indicate priced-in caution. Key catalysts ahead include June 16-17 FOMC and May CPI data, with persistent disinflation needed to avert policy reversal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$1,099,324শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the FOMC's steady 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range held at the April 29 meeting amid balanced risks. April CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—up from March's 3.3%—elevating hike odds from earlier lows, yet unemployment held steady at 4.3% with modest 115,000 nonfarm payroll gains signaling no overheating. The March dot plot projected funds toward low-3% by 2027, implying cuts over hikes, while 10-year Treasury yields near 4.46% indicate priced-in caution. Key catalysts ahead include June 16-17 FOMC and May CPI data, with persistent disinflation needed to avert policy reversal.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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