Recent softening in July CPI to 3.4% year-over-year and a weak nonfarm payrolls report have slightly tilted trader sentiment toward no Fed rate hike for the balance of 2026, with market-implied odds at 54.5% against. Inflation remains above the 2% target after years of persistence, while the June dot plot showed dispersion with nine participants favoring a higher year-end 2026 funds rate above the current 3.50-3.75% range. The FOMC's September 15-16 meeting and August CPI release on September 11 represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the closely balanced probabilities, as futures markets price in roughly even odds for near-term policy action amid mixed growth and price signals.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহ্যাঁ
46% সম্ভাবনা
$7,513,352 Vol.
$7,513,352 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
হ্যাঁ
46% সম্ভাবনা
$7,513,352 Vol.
$7,513,352 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent softening in July CPI to 3.4% year-over-year and a weak nonfarm payrolls report have slightly tilted trader sentiment toward no Fed rate hike for the balance of 2026, with market-implied odds at 54.5% against. Inflation remains above the 2% target after years of persistence, while the June dot plot showed dispersion with nine participants favoring a higher year-end 2026 funds rate above the current 3.50-3.75% range. The FOMC's September 15-16 meeting and August CPI release on September 11 represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the closely balanced probabilities, as futures markets price in roughly even odds for near-term policy action amid mixed growth and price signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$7,513,352শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent softening in July CPI to 3.4% year-over-year and a weak nonfarm payrolls report have slightly tilted trader sentiment toward no Fed rate hike for the balance of 2026, with market-implied odds at 54.5% against. Inflation remains above the 2% target after years of persistence, while the June dot plot showed dispersion with nine participants favoring a higher year-end 2026 funds rate above the current 3.50-3.75% range. The FOMC's September 15-16 meeting and August CPI release on September 11 represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the closely balanced probabilities, as futures markets price in roughly even odds for near-term policy action amid mixed growth and price signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$7,513,352শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent softening in July CPI to 3.4% year-over-year and a weak nonfarm payrolls report have slightly tilted trader sentiment toward no Fed rate hike for the balance of 2026, with market-implied odds at 54.5% against. Inflation remains above the 2% target after years of persistence, while the June dot plot showed dispersion with nine participants favoring a higher year-end 2026 funds rate above the current 3.50-3.75% range. The FOMC's September 15-16 meeting and August CPI release on September 11 represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the closely balanced probabilities, as futures markets price in roughly even odds for near-term policy action amid mixed growth and price signals.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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