The dominant 100% market-implied probability for a 17°C high in Madrid on May 15 reflects official AEMET observations and model consensus showing a cool northerly airflow advecting stable air masses across central Spain, limiting daytime heating under persistent cloud cover. Morning temperatures started near 10°C, and reduced solar insolation from the unstable pattern capped the peak well below the May climatological average of 22–24°C, as confirmed by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs. This aligns with historical analogs for similar late-spring setups featuring weak pressure gradients. Resolution at exactly 17°C could shift only if post-analysis revisions from Barajas Airport data reveal a brief sun break exceeding model guidance, though current verified readings make such adjustments unlikely.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on May 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 15?
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$86,682 Vol.
$86,682 Vol.
May 15, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$86,682 Vol.
$86,682 Vol.
May 15, 2026
13°C or below
$2,789 Vol.
No
14°C
$6,048 Vol.
No
15°C
$5,733 Vol.
No
16°C
$11,680 Vol.
No
17°C
$10,521 Vol.
Yes
18°C
$11,659 Vol.
No
19°C
$9,332 Vol.
No
20°C
$12,584 Vol.
No
21°C
$6,279 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,519 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$5,537 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant 100% market-implied probability for a 17°C high in Madrid on May 15 reflects official AEMET observations and model consensus showing a cool northerly airflow advecting stable air masses across central Spain, limiting daytime heating under persistent cloud cover. Morning temperatures started near 10°C, and reduced solar insolation from the unstable pattern capped the peak well below the May climatological average of 22–24°C, as confirmed by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs. This aligns with historical analogs for similar late-spring setups featuring weak pressure gradients. Resolution at exactly 17°C could shift only if post-analysis revisions from Barajas Airport data reveal a brief sun break exceeding model guidance, though current verified readings make such adjustments unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
ভলিউম
$86,682শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant 100% market-implied probability for a 17°C high in Madrid on May 15 reflects official AEMET observations and model consensus showing a cool northerly airflow advecting stable air masses across central Spain, limiting daytime heating under persistent cloud cover. Morning temperatures started near 10°C, and reduced solar insolation from the unstable pattern capped the peak well below the May climatological average of 22–24°C, as confirmed by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs. This aligns with historical analogs for similar late-spring setups featuring weak pressure gradients. Resolution at exactly 17°C could shift only if post-analysis revisions from Barajas Airport data reveal a brief sun break exceeding model guidance, though current verified readings make such adjustments unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$86,682শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
The dominant 100% market-implied probability for a 17°C high in Madrid on May 15 reflects official AEMET observations and model consensus showing a cool northerly airflow advecting stable air masses across central Spain, limiting daytime heating under persistent cloud cover. Morning temperatures started near 10°C, and reduced solar insolation from the unstable pattern capped the peak well below the May climatological average of 22–24°C, as confirmed by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs. This aligns with historical analogs for similar late-spring setups featuring weak pressure gradients. Resolution at exactly 17°C could shift only if post-analysis revisions from Barajas Airport data reveal a brief sun break exceeding model guidance, though current verified readings make such adjustments unlikely.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা