Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and ensemble models indicate a subtropical ridge will promote clear to partly cloudy skies and strong diurnal heating over Taipei on May 18, supporting afternoon highs centered near 30–32 °C. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average maxima reach 29–31 °C as seasonal warming intensifies ahead of the Meiyu front. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, local wind speeds, or brief convective cloud build-up can shift the recorded peak by 1–2 °C. Upcoming model runs and afternoon observations on May 17 will refine the exact threshold, with any earlier frontal passage or increased humidity likely capping temperatures at the lower end of the range.