Iran’s longstanding insistence on preserving a domestic uranium enrichment capability as a sovereign right remains the central barrier, reinforced by repeated rejections of U.S. proposals for zero or long-term moratorium enrichment during 2025–2026 talks. Strikes on Natanz, Fordow, and Esfahan in mid-2025 damaged key facilities and created verification gaps that the IAEA has yet to close, while recent memoranda reference only further discussions and stockpile down-blending without committing to a full end by late September. Traders price near-certainty of no agreement because no breakthrough has emerged from indirect negotiations, and Iran’s public red lines have held. A late diplomatic concession or verified dismantlement framework could still shift probabilities, though such steps would require rapid alignment on monitoring and sanctions relief absent in current positions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?
3% সম্ভাবনা
$62,705 Vol.
$62,705 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
3% সম্ভাবনা
$62,705 Vol.
$62,705 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran’s longstanding insistence on preserving a domestic uranium enrichment capability as a sovereign right remains the central barrier, reinforced by repeated rejections of U.S. proposals for zero or long-term moratorium enrichment during 2025–2026 talks. Strikes on Natanz, Fordow, and Esfahan in mid-2025 damaged key facilities and created verification gaps that the IAEA has yet to close, while recent memoranda reference only further discussions and stockpile down-blending without committing to a full end by late September. Traders price near-certainty of no agreement because no breakthrough has emerged from indirect negotiations, and Iran’s public red lines have held. A late diplomatic concession or verified dismantlement framework could still shift probabilities, though such steps would require rapid alignment on monitoring and sanctions relief absent in current positions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 9, 2026, 9:43 AM ET
ভলিউম
$62,705শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 9, 2026, 9:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran’s longstanding insistence on preserving a domestic uranium enrichment capability as a sovereign right remains the central barrier, reinforced by repeated rejections of U.S. proposals for zero or long-term moratorium enrichment during 2025–2026 talks. Strikes on Natanz, Fordow, and Esfahan in mid-2025 damaged key facilities and created verification gaps that the IAEA has yet to close, while recent memoranda reference only further discussions and stockpile down-blending without committing to a full end by late September. Traders price near-certainty of no agreement because no breakthrough has emerged from indirect negotiations, and Iran’s public red lines have held. A late diplomatic concession or verified dismantlement framework could still shift probabilities, though such steps would require rapid alignment on monitoring and sanctions relief absent in current positions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$62,705শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 9, 2026, 9:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s longstanding insistence on preserving a domestic uranium enrichment capability as a sovereign right remains the central barrier, reinforced by repeated rejections of U.S. proposals for zero or long-term moratorium enrichment during 2025–2026 talks. Strikes on Natanz, Fordow, and Esfahan in mid-2025 damaged key facilities and created verification gaps that the IAEA has yet to close, while recent memoranda reference only further discussions and stockpile down-blending without committing to a full end by late September. Traders price near-certainty of no agreement because no breakthrough has emerged from indirect negotiations, and Iran’s public red lines have held. A late diplomatic concession or verified dismantlement framework could still shift probabilities, though such steps would require rapid alignment on monitoring and sanctions relief absent in current positions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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