Recent September ISM Services PMI data at 54.9, slightly below the 55.0 consensus and down from August’s 55.4, anchors trader expectations for October around the 54–55.9 range. Business activity fell sharply to 56.5 while new orders eased to 59.8, though the employment sub-index returned to expansion at 50.1. The prices paid index climbed to 74.0, its highest since mid-2022, reflecting sustained fuel cost pressures, tariffs, and supply-chain constraints cited by respondents. A soft September employment report showing just 29,000 net job gains and a 4.2% unemployment rate reinforces views of moderating services momentum. With new orders still solid and backlogs elevated, markets price continued but tempered expansion ahead of the November release.
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