Ongoing negotiations between the United States, Israel, and Iran center on converting the April 2026 Pakistan-mediated ceasefire into a permanent peace agreement, with talks deadlocked over Iran's nuclear program, ballistic missiles, and support for regional proxies. President Trump has described the current truce as on "massive life support" after rejecting Tehran's latest counterproposal, which prioritizes ending hostilities, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions relief while deferring full nuclear concessions. Israeli officials continue to insist any deal must eliminate Iran's enriched uranium stockpile and dismantle key facilities, amid reports of renewed military preparations on both sides. The fragile status of the ceasefire and upcoming diplomatic deadlines in the coming weeks remain the primary drivers of trader assessments regarding prospects for a lasting resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
$936,934 Vol.
May 31
3%
June 30
13%
$936,934 Vol.
May 31
3%
June 30
13%
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 16, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing negotiations between the United States, Israel, and Iran center on converting the April 2026 Pakistan-mediated ceasefire into a permanent peace agreement, with talks deadlocked over Iran's nuclear program, ballistic missiles, and support for regional proxies. President Trump has described the current truce as on "massive life support" after rejecting Tehran's latest counterproposal, which prioritizes ending hostilities, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions relief while deferring full nuclear concessions. Israeli officials continue to insist any deal must eliminate Iran's enriched uranium stockpile and dismantle key facilities, amid reports of renewed military preparations on both sides. The fragile status of the ceasefire and upcoming diplomatic deadlines in the coming weeks remain the primary drivers of trader assessments regarding prospects for a lasting resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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