Ongoing diplomatic initiatives, including the United States’ recent call for a humanitarian ceasefire and safe aid corridors, represent the primary driver behind trader assessments of a near-term truce in Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces. International actors such as the Quad—comprising the US, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE—continue advancing frameworks for an initial truce followed by political talks, while the UN and African Union coordinate parallel mediation tracks. Recent reports highlight intensified drone strikes contributing to civilian casualties and stalled direct negotiations, underscoring barriers to rapid de-escalation. Scheduled donor conferences and high-level engagements through mid-2026 could influence momentum, though persistent military advances on multiple fronts and external arms flows sustain uncertainty over the timeline for any monitored cessation of hostilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSudan civil war ceasefire by...?
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
$92,664 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 30, 2026
13%
December 31, 2026
13%
$92,664 Vol.
June 30, 2026
$33,225 Vol.
13%
December 31, 2026
$291 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing diplomatic initiatives, including the United States’ recent call for a humanitarian ceasefire and safe aid corridors, represent the primary driver behind trader assessments of a near-term truce in Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces. International actors such as the Quad—comprising the US, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE—continue advancing frameworks for an initial truce followed by political talks, while the UN and African Union coordinate parallel mediation tracks. Recent reports highlight intensified drone strikes contributing to civilian casualties and stalled direct negotiations, underscoring barriers to rapid de-escalation. Scheduled donor conferences and high-level engagements through mid-2026 could influence momentum, though persistent military advances on multiple fronts and external arms flows sustain uncertainty over the timeline for any monitored cessation of hostilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
ভলিউম
$92,664শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing diplomatic initiatives, including the United States’ recent call for a humanitarian ceasefire and safe aid corridors, represent the primary driver behind trader assessments of a near-term truce in Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces. International actors such as the Quad—comprising the US, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE—continue advancing frameworks for an initial truce followed by political talks, while the UN and African Union coordinate parallel mediation tracks. Recent reports highlight intensified drone strikes contributing to civilian casualties and stalled direct negotiations, underscoring barriers to rapid de-escalation. Scheduled donor conferences and high-level engagements through mid-2026 could influence momentum, though persistent military advances on multiple fronts and external arms flows sustain uncertainty over the timeline for any monitored cessation of hostilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
ভলিউম
$92,664শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing diplomatic initiatives, including the United States’ recent call for a humanitarian ceasefire and safe aid corridors, represent the primary driver behind trader assessments of a near-term truce in Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces. International actors such as the Quad—comprising the US, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE—continue advancing frameworks for an initial truce followed by political talks, while the UN and African Union coordinate parallel mediation tracks. Recent reports highlight intensified drone strikes contributing to civilian casualties and stalled direct negotiations, underscoring barriers to rapid de-escalation. Scheduled donor conferences and high-level engagements through mid-2026 could influence momentum, though persistent military advances on multiple fronts and external arms flows sustain uncertainty over the timeline for any monitored cessation of hostilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা