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icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz

icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz

Flávio Bolsonaro 69%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 30.8%

Renan Santos <1%

Augusto Cury <1%

Polymarket

$7,669,209 Vol.

Flávio Bolsonaro 69%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 30.8%

Renan Santos <1%

Augusto Cury <1%

Polymarket

$7,669,209 Vol.

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$1,031,601 Vol.

69%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$860,690 Vol.

31%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$1,357,779 Vol.

<1%

icon for Augusto Cury

Augusto Cury

$261,447 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$274,561 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$205,331 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$810,518 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$229,030 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$173,947 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$750,182 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$507,972 Vol.

<1%

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$421,735 Vol.

<1%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$207,849 Vol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$231,008 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$144,665 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$142,390 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$36,533 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$21,972 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from mid-September consistently places incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ahead in first-round voting intentions at 38-44%, followed by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party at 34-41%, with the gap narrowing to within margins of error in several surveys. This positioning, combined with Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility until 2030 and imprisonment, has consolidated right-wing support behind his son Flávio as the primary challenger. Other registered candidates, including writer Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos, register in the low single digits and show limited momentum. Runoff simulations remain statistically tied, reflecting high rejection rates for both frontrunners and a polarized electorate ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus reflects these stable polling trends and the structural concentration of opposition votes.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$7,669,209
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from mid-September consistently places incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ahead in first-round voting intentions at 38-44%, followed by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party at 34-41%, with the gap narrowing to within margins of error in several surveys. This positioning, combined with Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility until 2030 and imprisonment, has consolidated right-wing support behind his son Flávio as the primary challenger. Other registered candidates, including writer Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos, register in the low single digits and show limited momentum. Runoff simulations remain statistically tied, reflecting high rejection rates for both frontrunners and a polarized electorate ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus reflects these stable polling trends and the structural concentration of opposition votes.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$7,669,209
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Renan Santos in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 den dritten Platz belegen?

Wird Renan Santos in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 den dritten Platz belegen?

51%
Ja
icon for Wird Lula in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Lula in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

69%
Ja
icon for Wird Flavio Bolsonaro bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen im Bundesdistrikt erhalten?

Wird Flavio Bolsonaro bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen im Bundesdistrikt erhalten?

91%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 18 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Flávio Bolsonaro" mit 69%, gefolgt von „Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva" mit 31%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 69¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 69% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $7.7 million generiert, seit der Markt am Feb 11, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 18 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz" ist „Flávio Bolsonaro" mit 69%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 69% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva" mit 31%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.