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Politik·Globale Wahlen

Nächste Senatswahl in Brasilien: Die meisten Sitze gewonnen

icon for Nächste Senatswahl in Brasilien: Die meisten Sitze gewonnen
Politik·Globale Wahlen

Nächste Senatswahl in Brasilien: Die meisten Sitze gewonnen

PL 77%

MDB 16.5%

UNIÃO 1.0%

PSD <1%

Polymarket

$293,637 Vol.

PL 77%

MDB 16.5%

UNIÃO 1.0%

PSD <1%

Polymarket

$293,637 Vol.

icon for PL

PL

$258,914 Vol.

77%

icon for MDB

MDB

$8,289 Vol.

17%

icon for UNIÃO

UNIÃO

$2,883 Vol.

1%

icon for PSD

PSD

$2,658 Vol.

1%

icon for PT

PT

$2,953 Vol.

1%

icon for REPUBLICANOS

REPUBLICANOS

$3,355 Vol.

<1%

icon for PP

PP

$2,465 Vol.

<1%

icon for PSDB

PSDB

$2,442 Vol.

<1%

icon for NOVO

NOVO

$2,708 Vol.

<1%

icon for PSB

PSB

$2,304 Vol.

<1%

icon for PODEMOS

PODEMOS

$2,615 Vol.

<1%

icon for PDT

PDT

$2,052 Vol.

<1%

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Liberal Party (PL) holds a dominant trader consensus position for winning the most seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, which renews 54 of 81 seats through two-per-state first-past-the-post contests. This positioning stems from the party’s established right-leaning base, aggressive candidate recruitment, and coattails from Senator Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential campaign under the PL banner, following his formal nomination and Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement. Party-switching activity ahead of the April 2026 deadline further strengthened PL’s congressional ranks. The Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB) remains the clearest alternative but trails due to weaker national momentum and fewer competitive state-level contenders. Recent polling shows Flávio Bolsonaro competitive in presidential runoffs, sustaining expectations of aligned Senate gains for PL.

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.

Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$293,637
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Liberal Party (PL) holds a dominant trader consensus position for winning the most seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, which renews 54 of 81 seats through two-per-state first-past-the-post contests. This positioning stems from the party’s established right-leaning base, aggressive candidate recruitment, and coattails from Senator Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential campaign under the PL banner, following his formal nomination and Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement. Party-switching activity ahead of the April 2026 deadline further strengthened PL’s congressional ranks. The Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB) remains the clearest alternative but trails due to weaker national momentum and fewer competitive state-level contenders. Recent polling shows Flávio Bolsonaro competitive in presidential runoffs, sustaining expectations of aligned Senate gains for PL.

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.

Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$293,637
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Partido Liberal (PL) nach der nächsten Wahl zum brasilianischen Senat die meisten Sitze halten?

Wird die Partido Liberal (PL) nach der nächsten Wahl zum brasilianischen Senat die meisten Sitze halten?

86%
Ja
icon for Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

65%
icon for Wird Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva die brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 gewinnen?

Wird Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva die brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 gewinnen?

64%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Nächste Senatswahl in Brasilien: Die meisten Sitze gewonnen" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 12 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „PL" mit 77%, gefolgt von „MDB" mit 17%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 77¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 77% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Nächste Senatswahl in Brasilien: Die meisten Sitze gewonnen" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $293.6K generiert, seit der Markt am Feb 11, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Nächste Senatswahl in Brasilien: Die meisten Sitze gewonnen" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 12 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Nächste Senatswahl in Brasilien: Die meisten Sitze gewonnen" ist „PL" mit 77%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 77% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „MDB" mit 17%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Nächste Senatswahl in Brasilien: Die meisten Sitze gewonnen" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.