Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a Beijing daily high of 19 °C today under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, which has driven trader consensus to assign the 19 °C outcome a 99.9 % implied probability. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show strong agreement on this narrow range because mid-May climatology favors gradual warming without strong warm-air advection or prolonged sunshine that could push readings higher. A modest increase in afternoon insolation or an unexpected shift in steering winds could realistically lift the peak to 20 °C or above, though model consensus places that likelihood well below 1 %.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 17. Mai?
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$134,226 Vol.
$134,226 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$134,226 Vol.
$134,226 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
13°C or below
$533 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$30,787 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,780 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$6,602 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$8,798 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$14,363 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$28,557 Vol.
100%
20°C
$16,912 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$6,289 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$8,694 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$10,937 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a Beijing daily high of 19 °C today under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, which has driven trader consensus to assign the 19 °C outcome a 99.9 % implied probability. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show strong agreement on this narrow range because mid-May climatology favors gradual warming without strong warm-air advection or prolonged sunshine that could push readings higher. A modest increase in afternoon insolation or an unexpected shift in steering winds could realistically lift the peak to 20 °C or above, though model consensus places that likelihood well below 1 %.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$134,226Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a Beijing daily high of 19 °C today under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, which has driven trader consensus to assign the 19 °C outcome a 99.9 % implied probability. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show strong agreement on this narrow range because mid-May climatology favors gradual warming without strong warm-air advection or prolonged sunshine that could push readings higher. A modest increase in afternoon insolation or an unexpected shift in steering winds could realistically lift the peak to 20 °C or above, though model consensus places that likelihood well below 1 %.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$134,226Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a Beijing daily high of 19 °C today under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, which has driven trader consensus to assign the 19 °C outcome a 99.9 % implied probability. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show strong agreement on this narrow range because mid-May climatology favors gradual warming without strong warm-air advection or prolonged sunshine that could push readings higher. A modest increase in afternoon insolation or an unexpected shift in steering winds could realistically lift the peak to 20 °C or above, though model consensus places that likelihood well below 1 %.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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