Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 18°C (39.5% implied probability) in Buenos Aires today, aligning closely with the latest forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and AccuWeather, which project a daytime high near 18°C under hazy sunshine and light winds. Morning observations show temperatures around 13°C amid clear skies transitioning to partial cloudiness, consistent with autumnal cooling patterns in the Southern Hemisphere pampas region, where May averages hover at 17–19°C. Stable high-pressure systems limit warming potential, with model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF converging on this range after yesterday's slightly warmer 19°C peak. Official resolution will use SMN-recorded maxima from Aeroparque or Ezeiza stations; intraday updates could shift odds if sea breezes strengthen or clouds dissipate unexpectedly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 15?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 15?
18°C 44%
19°C 27%
17°C 20%
20°C 6.0%
$21,925 Vol.
$21,925 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
20%
18°C
44%
19°C
27%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 44%
19°C 27%
17°C 20%
20°C 6.0%
$21,925 Vol.
$21,925 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
20%
18°C
44%
19°C
27%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 18°C (39.5% implied probability) in Buenos Aires today, aligning closely with the latest forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and AccuWeather, which project a daytime high near 18°C under hazy sunshine and light winds. Morning observations show temperatures around 13°C amid clear skies transitioning to partial cloudiness, consistent with autumnal cooling patterns in the Southern Hemisphere pampas region, where May averages hover at 17–19°C. Stable high-pressure systems limit warming potential, with model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF converging on this range after yesterday's slightly warmer 19°C peak. Official resolution will use SMN-recorded maxima from Aeroparque or Ezeiza stations; intraday updates could shift odds if sea breezes strengthen or clouds dissipate unexpectedly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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