Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum near 14°C at the official monitoring station under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. This post-frontal air mass has suppressed temperatures 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 17–18°C, driving the market’s strong 89% implied probability for the 14°C outcome. Model consensus shows limited warming potential today, with historical analogs confirming similar autumn cooling patterns after cold fronts. Minor uncertainty remains from possible afternoon cloud breaks or slight forecast revisions, but current observations align closely with the leading bracket as resolution approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 17. Mai?
14°C 98.4%
15°C 1.5%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$30,875 Vol.
$30,875 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
98%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 98.4%
15°C 1.5%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$30,875 Vol.
$30,875 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
98%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZRecent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum near 14°C at the official monitoring station under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. This post-frontal air mass has suppressed temperatures 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 17–18°C, driving the market’s strong 89% implied probability for the 14°C outcome. Model consensus shows limited warming potential today, with historical analogs confirming similar autumn cooling patterns after cold fronts. Minor uncertainty remains from possible afternoon cloud breaks or slight forecast revisions, but current observations align closely with the leading bracket as resolution approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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