Current forecasts from Argentina’s National Meteorological Service indicate a maximum temperature of 14 °C in Buenos Aires on May 17, anchoring the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4 % implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies have suppressed warming during the austral autumn, aligning closely with long-term May climatology of 13–15 °C. Ensemble model runs show minimal spread, with only modest afternoon variability expected from localized urban effects. A late revision in observed readings or an unexpected warm advection could still shift the outcome toward 15 °C, though such adjustments appear improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 17. Mai?
14°C 99.4%
15°C 1.5%
16°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
$35,405 Vol.
$35,405 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.4%
15°C 1.5%
16°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
$35,405 Vol.
$35,405 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZCurrent forecasts from Argentina’s National Meteorological Service indicate a maximum temperature of 14 °C in Buenos Aires on May 17, anchoring the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4 % implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies have suppressed warming during the austral autumn, aligning closely with long-term May climatology of 13–15 °C. Ensemble model runs show minimal spread, with only modest afternoon variability expected from localized urban effects. A late revision in observed readings or an unexpected warm advection could still shift the outcome toward 15 °C, though such adjustments appear improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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