Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, establishing this as the overwhelming market consensus. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is delivering clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover that enhances daytime heating above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. With low precipitation odds and stable atmospheric conditions, official observations are expected to align closely with the model consensus. Traders continue monitoring the final afternoon window for any last-minute steering-flow adjustments that could shift the recorded high by 1–2°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 17. Mai?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$65,666 Vol.
$65,666 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$65,666 Vol.
$65,666 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUULatest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, establishing this as the overwhelming market consensus. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is delivering clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover that enhances daytime heating above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. With low precipitation odds and stable atmospheric conditions, official observations are expected to align closely with the model consensus. Traders continue monitoring the final afternoon window for any last-minute steering-flow adjustments that could shift the recorded high by 1–2°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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