Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers indicate mostly sunny conditions with light southeast winds on August 24, supporting highs near 76–78 °F at Chicago’s official observation sites. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and a stable air mass limit afternoon heating, keeping temperatures below seasonal normals of 81–82 °F. Recent model runs show little spread, with consensus centering on 76–77 °F and only modest upside risk if cloud cover decreases more than expected. Trader positioning reflects this stability, concentrating implied probability on the two leading bins while assigning low odds to excursions above 80 °F or below 75 °F. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 24. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Chicago am 24. August?
76-77°F 52%
78-79°F 37%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 6%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
69°F oder weniger
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
52%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
30–31°C
<1%
88°F oder höher
<1%
76-77°F 52%
78-79°F 37%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 6%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
69°F oder weniger
$120 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$208 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$380 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$328 Vol.
7%
76-77°F
$1,463 Vol.
52%
78-79°F
$222 Vol.
37%
80-81°F
$266 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$149 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$83 Vol.
1%
30–31°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
88°F oder höher
$165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers indicate mostly sunny conditions with light southeast winds on August 24, supporting highs near 76–78 °F at Chicago’s official observation sites. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and a stable air mass limit afternoon heating, keeping temperatures below seasonal normals of 81–82 °F. Recent model runs show little spread, with consensus centering on 76–77 °F and only modest upside risk if cloud cover decreases more than expected. Trader positioning reflects this stability, concentrating implied probability on the two leading bins while assigning low odds to excursions above 80 °F or below 75 °F. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$3,540Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers indicate mostly sunny conditions with light southeast winds on August 24, supporting highs near 76–78 °F at Chicago’s official observation sites. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and a stable air mass limit afternoon heating, keeping temperatures below seasonal normals of 81–82 °F. Recent model runs show little spread, with consensus centering on 76–77 °F and only modest upside risk if cloud cover decreases more than expected. Trader positioning reflects this stability, concentrating implied probability on the two leading bins while assigning low odds to excursions above 80 °F or below 75 °F. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,540Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers indicate mostly sunny conditions with light southeast winds on August 24, supporting highs near 76–78 °F at Chicago’s official observation sites. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and a stable air mass limit afternoon heating, keeping temperatures below seasonal normals of 81–82 °F. Recent model runs show little spread, with consensus centering on 76–77 °F and only modest upside risk if cloud cover decreases more than expected. Trader positioning reflects this stability, concentrating implied probability on the two leading bins while assigning low odds to excursions above 80 °F or below 75 °F. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen