Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate a high likelihood of a 27°C peak in Guangzhou on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating in this subtropical region. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet current steering patterns and moisture influx align with readings capped at or below the recent baseline. Traders have consolidated around the 27°C outcome as the most probable resolution based on official station data from Baiyun International Airport. Unexpected afternoon clearing or reduced rainfall could push temperatures toward 28–29°C, while heavier convective activity might hold the maximum lower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 17. Mai?
27°C 100.0%
22°C oder niedriger <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,156 Vol.
$30,156 Vol.
22°C oder niedriger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
22°C oder niedriger <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,156 Vol.
$30,156 Vol.
22°C oder niedriger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGRecent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate a high likelihood of a 27°C peak in Guangzhou on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating in this subtropical region. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet current steering patterns and moisture influx align with readings capped at or below the recent baseline. Traders have consolidated around the 27°C outcome as the most probable resolution based on official station data from Baiyun International Airport. Unexpected afternoon clearing or reduced rainfall could push temperatures toward 28–29°C, while heavier convective activity might hold the maximum lower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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