Recent model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 16°C across Helsinki today, positioning that outcome as the market leader amid a high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and steady solar heating over southern Finland. This springtime setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs typically reach 15–16°C under similar anticyclonic conditions. Traders appear to weigh the limited upside potential from modest insolation against the risk of slight cooling from variable low-level flow, with the next-highest probabilities clustered around 15°C and 17°C reflecting ongoing ensemble spread. Updated surface observations from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport will determine final resolution as the day concludes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Helsinki am 17. Mai?
16°C 43%
15°C 34%
17°C 20%
18°C 5.1%
$16,472 Vol.
$16,472 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
34%
16°C
43%
17°C
20%
18°C
5%
19°C or higher
2%
16°C 43%
15°C 34%
17°C 20%
18°C 5.1%
$16,472 Vol.
$16,472 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
34%
16°C
43%
17°C
20%
18°C
5%
19°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKRecent model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 16°C across Helsinki today, positioning that outcome as the market leader amid a high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and steady solar heating over southern Finland. This springtime setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs typically reach 15–16°C under similar anticyclonic conditions. Traders appear to weigh the limited upside potential from modest insolation against the risk of slight cooling from variable low-level flow, with the next-highest probabilities clustered around 15°C and 17°C reflecting ongoing ensemble spread. Updated surface observations from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport will determine final resolution as the day concludes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen