Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on an 18°C daily maximum for London today under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, underpinning the market's near-certain pricing for that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited cloud cover allowing sufficient daytime heating, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for southeast England. Minor model spreads remain possible, but current observations show no signs of significant deviation. A sudden increase in cloudiness or an unexpected warm advection could push readings to 19°C or higher, while stronger winds or more extensive cloud might cap the peak at 17°C. Final resolution will depend on verified station data at the close of the day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 17. Mai?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$171,540 Vol.
$171,540 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$171,540 Vol.
$171,540 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on an 18°C daily maximum for London today under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, underpinning the market's near-certain pricing for that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited cloud cover allowing sufficient daytime heating, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for southeast England. Minor model spreads remain possible, but current observations show no signs of significant deviation. A sudden increase in cloudiness or an unexpected warm advection could push readings to 19°C or higher, while stronger winds or more extensive cloud might cap the peak at 17°C. Final resolution will depend on verified station data at the close of the day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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