Current official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and regional models indicate a maximum temperature in Lucknow on May 17 unlikely to exceed 41°C, driven by typical mid-May synoptic patterns that include moderate westerly winds and limited moisture influx prior to monsoon advance. Climatological data show average highs near 40°C during this period, with recent observational trends reflecting stable conditions rather than extreme heat buildup. While model runs can shift with updated upper-air data, the overwhelming market-implied probability above 99% for 41°C or below aligns with this consensus. A sudden intensification of local heating or delayed cloud cover could push readings higher, but such deviations remain low-probability based on current atmospheric indicators.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 17. Mai?
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$40,749 Vol.
$40,749 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$40,749 Vol.
$40,749 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
41°C or below
$6,864 Vol.
100%
42°C
$3,096 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$3,992 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$5,343 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$3,118 Vol.
<1%
46°C
$2,551 Vol.
<1%
47°C
$6,418 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$6,412 Vol.
<1%
49°C
$862 Vol.
<1%
50°C
$908 Vol.
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,183 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and regional models indicate a maximum temperature in Lucknow on May 17 unlikely to exceed 41°C, driven by typical mid-May synoptic patterns that include moderate westerly winds and limited moisture influx prior to monsoon advance. Climatological data show average highs near 40°C during this period, with recent observational trends reflecting stable conditions rather than extreme heat buildup. While model runs can shift with updated upper-air data, the overwhelming market-implied probability above 99% for 41°C or below aligns with this consensus. A sudden intensification of local heating or delayed cloud cover could push readings higher, but such deviations remain low-probability based on current atmospheric indicators.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$40,749Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and regional models indicate a maximum temperature in Lucknow on May 17 unlikely to exceed 41°C, driven by typical mid-May synoptic patterns that include moderate westerly winds and limited moisture influx prior to monsoon advance. Climatological data show average highs near 40°C during this period, with recent observational trends reflecting stable conditions rather than extreme heat buildup. While model runs can shift with updated upper-air data, the overwhelming market-implied probability above 99% for 41°C or below aligns with this consensus. A sudden intensification of local heating or delayed cloud cover could push readings higher, but such deviations remain low-probability based on current atmospheric indicators.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$40,749Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKCurrent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and regional models indicate a maximum temperature in Lucknow on May 17 unlikely to exceed 41°C, driven by typical mid-May synoptic patterns that include moderate westerly winds and limited moisture influx prior to monsoon advance. Climatological data show average highs near 40°C during this period, with recent observational trends reflecting stable conditions rather than extreme heat buildup. While model runs can shift with updated upper-air data, the overwhelming market-implied probability above 99% for 41°C or below aligns with this consensus. A sudden intensification of local heating or delayed cloud cover could push readings higher, but such deviations remain low-probability based on current atmospheric indicators.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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