Recent official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate maximum temperatures of 25–28 °C in Mexico City on May 19, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow typical of the late dry season. This climatological pattern, reinforced by the city’s high-altitude subtropical setting and urban heat-island effect, aligns with historical May averages near 27 °C and explains the market’s dominant 84.5 % implied probability for 25 °C or higher. No significant cooling fronts or increased cloud cover appear in current model runs, though traders continue to monitor the next SMN update for any late shifts in the thermal ridge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 19. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 19. Mai?
25°C or higher 92%
24°C 6%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
NEU
NEU
19. Mai 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C or higher
92%
25°C or higher 92%
24°C 6%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
NEU
NEU
19. Mai 2026
15°C or below
$8 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$8 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$8 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$8 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$8 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$28 Vol.
1%
21°C
$23 Vol.
1%
22°C
$71 Vol.
1%
23°C
$33 Vol.
1%
24°C
$105 Vol.
6%
25°C or higher
$125 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate maximum temperatures of 25–28 °C in Mexico City on May 19, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow typical of the late dry season. This climatological pattern, reinforced by the city’s high-altitude subtropical setting and urban heat-island effect, aligns with historical May averages near 27 °C and explains the market’s dominant 84.5 % implied probability for 25 °C or higher. No significant cooling fronts or increased cloud cover appear in current model runs, though traders continue to monitor the next SMN update for any late shifts in the thermal ridge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$402Enddatum
19. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate maximum temperatures of 25–28 °C in Mexico City on May 19, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow typical of the late dry season. This climatological pattern, reinforced by the city’s high-altitude subtropical setting and urban heat-island effect, aligns with historical May averages near 27 °C and explains the market’s dominant 84.5 % implied probability for 25 °C or higher. No significant cooling fronts or increased cloud cover appear in current model runs, though traders continue to monitor the next SMN update for any late shifts in the thermal ridge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$402Enddatum
19. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXRecent official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate maximum temperatures of 25–28 °C in Mexico City on May 19, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow typical of the late dry season. This climatological pattern, reinforced by the city’s high-altitude subtropical setting and urban heat-island effect, aligns with historical May averages near 27 °C and explains the market’s dominant 84.5 % implied probability for 25 °C or higher. No significant cooling fronts or increased cloud cover appear in current model runs, though traders continue to monitor the next SMN update for any late shifts in the thermal ridge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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