Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance projects Miami’s daytime high in the upper 80s today under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This positions the 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F brackets as the dominant outcomes because typical May insolation, combined with moderating sea-breeze circulation and elevated humidity, usually caps afternoon temperatures near the seasonal average of 85 °F. Recent model runs show no strong high-pressure ridge or offshore flow that would push readings into the low 90s, keeping higher brackets at minimal implied probability. Updated forecasts released this morning continue to align with climatological norms for the region, reinforcing trader consensus around the mid-80s range while leaving modest uncertainty tied to possible isolated thunderstorm timing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 17. Mai?
84-85°F 55%
86-87°F 37%
88-89°F 6.3%
90-91°F <1%
$76,491 Vol.
$76,491 Vol.
75°F oder weniger
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
55%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F oder höher
<1%
84-85°F 55%
86-87°F 37%
88-89°F 6.3%
90-91°F <1%
$76,491 Vol.
$76,491 Vol.
75°F oder weniger
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
55%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIACurrent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance projects Miami’s daytime high in the upper 80s today under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This positions the 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F brackets as the dominant outcomes because typical May insolation, combined with moderating sea-breeze circulation and elevated humidity, usually caps afternoon temperatures near the seasonal average of 85 °F. Recent model runs show no strong high-pressure ridge or offshore flow that would push readings into the low 90s, keeping higher brackets at minimal implied probability. Updated forecasts released this morning continue to align with climatological norms for the region, reinforcing trader consensus around the mid-80s range while leaving modest uncertainty tied to possible isolated thunderstorm timing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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