ARPA Lombardia's latest forecast bulletin highlights an incoming cold air mass and unstable weather pattern over northern Italy on May 14, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens Celsius highs in Milan, with 16°C and 17°C nearly tied at 32.5% and 30.5% implied probabilities. Prevalent cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible isolated thunderstorms from northern sectors will suppress peak heating, as confirmed by ECMWF and GFS model ensembles showing maxima clustering 15–18°C amid light easterly winds. Differentiating factors include the precise timing of diurnal maximum before any convective onset and Milan's urban heat island effect, which could nudge outcomes higher; final high-resolution updates expected overnight will refine this close contest before resolution via official observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on May 14?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 14?
17°C 37%
16°C 32%
18°C 18%
19°C 12.8%
NEU
$26,823 Vol.
NEU
$26,823 Vol.
14. Mai 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
32%
17°C
37%
18°C
18%
19°C
13%
20°C or higher
2%
17°C 37%
16°C 32%
18°C 18%
19°C 12.8%
NEU
$26,823 Vol.
NEU
$26,823 Vol.
14. Mai 2026
10°C or below
$1,036 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,177 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,350 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,266 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,030 Vol.
1%
15°C
$3,373 Vol.
5%
16°C
$2,797 Vol.
32%
17°C
$2,446 Vol.
37%
18°C
$2,696 Vol.
18%
19°C
$2,888 Vol.
13%
20°C or higher
$5,781 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.ARPA Lombardia's latest forecast bulletin highlights an incoming cold air mass and unstable weather pattern over northern Italy on May 14, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens Celsius highs in Milan, with 16°C and 17°C nearly tied at 32.5% and 30.5% implied probabilities. Prevalent cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible isolated thunderstorms from northern sectors will suppress peak heating, as confirmed by ECMWF and GFS model ensembles showing maxima clustering 15–18°C amid light easterly winds. Differentiating factors include the precise timing of diurnal maximum before any convective onset and Milan's urban heat island effect, which could nudge outcomes higher; final high-resolution updates expected overnight will refine this close contest before resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$26,823Enddatum
14. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.ARPA Lombardia's latest forecast bulletin highlights an incoming cold air mass and unstable weather pattern over northern Italy on May 14, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens Celsius highs in Milan, with 16°C and 17°C nearly tied at 32.5% and 30.5% implied probabilities. Prevalent cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible isolated thunderstorms from northern sectors will suppress peak heating, as confirmed by ECMWF and GFS model ensembles showing maxima clustering 15–18°C amid light easterly winds. Differentiating factors include the precise timing of diurnal maximum before any convective onset and Milan's urban heat island effect, which could nudge outcomes higher; final high-resolution updates expected overnight will refine this close contest before resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$26,823Enddatum
14. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...ARPA Lombardia's latest forecast bulletin highlights an incoming cold air mass and unstable weather pattern over northern Italy on May 14, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens Celsius highs in Milan, with 16°C and 17°C nearly tied at 32.5% and 30.5% implied probabilities. Prevalent cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible isolated thunderstorms from northern sectors will suppress peak heating, as confirmed by ECMWF and GFS model ensembles showing maxima clustering 15–18°C amid light easterly winds. Differentiating factors include the precise timing of diurnal maximum before any convective onset and Milan's urban heat island effect, which could nudge outcomes higher; final high-resolution updates expected overnight will refine this close contest before resolution via official observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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