Recent meteorological forecasts from European models, including ECMWF guidance, point to a daily maximum near 20–21°C in Milan on May 18 under a stable high-pressure system across the Po Valley. Mild spring conditions with light variable winds and limited cloud cover support temperatures close to the regional climatological average of 22°C for mid-May. Ensemble model spreads highlight sensitivity to minor variations in daytime solar heating and boundary-layer moisture, which accounts for the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 19–22°C outcomes. Official observations from Malpensa International Airport tomorrow will resolve the market, with any late forecast shifts from updated model runs likely to influence positioning ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 18. Mai?
20°C 37%
21°C 30%
19°C 22%
22°C 11%
$11,410 Vol.
$11,410 Vol.
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
22%
20°C
37%
21°C
30%
22°C
11%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 37%
21°C 30%
19°C 22%
22°C 11%
$11,410 Vol.
$11,410 Vol.
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
22%
20°C
37%
21°C
30%
22°C
11%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCRecent meteorological forecasts from European models, including ECMWF guidance, point to a daily maximum near 20–21°C in Milan on May 18 under a stable high-pressure system across the Po Valley. Mild spring conditions with light variable winds and limited cloud cover support temperatures close to the regional climatological average of 22°C for mid-May. Ensemble model spreads highlight sensitivity to minor variations in daytime solar heating and boundary-layer moisture, which accounts for the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 19–22°C outcomes. Official observations from Malpensa International Airport tomorrow will resolve the market, with any late forecast shifts from updated model runs likely to influence positioning ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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