Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow indicate a peak daily maximum temperature in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by a transient high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and enhanced solar insolation during midday hours. Numerical weather prediction models show surface temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 13°C to afternoon highs of 25–26°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May but slightly above the long-term average due to reduced cloud cover and southerly flow. Official observations from stations such as VDNKh will determine the exact maximum, with resolution hinging on whether readings reach or exceed key thresholds like 25°C or 26°C by evening local time. Traders appear to weight the consensus of short-range ensembles heavily, reflecting typical spring variability where small shifts in advection patterns can alter outcomes by 1–2°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 17. Mai?
25°C 42%
26°C 23.6%
24°C 19%
23°C 10%
$14,111 Vol.
$14,111 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
19%
25°C
42%
26°C
24%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 42%
26°C 23.6%
24°C 19%
23°C 10%
$14,111 Vol.
$14,111 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
19%
25°C
42%
26°C
24%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow indicate a peak daily maximum temperature in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by a transient high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and enhanced solar insolation during midday hours. Numerical weather prediction models show surface temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 13°C to afternoon highs of 25–26°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May but slightly above the long-term average due to reduced cloud cover and southerly flow. Official observations from stations such as VDNKh will determine the exact maximum, with resolution hinging on whether readings reach or exceed key thresholds like 25°C or 26°C by evening local time. Traders appear to weight the consensus of short-range ensembles heavily, reflecting typical spring variability where small shifts in advection patterns can alter outcomes by 1–2°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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