Recent official observations show Moscow reaching a high of 27.1°C on May 17, supported by southerly flow and high pressure that has elevated daytime temperatures above the mid-May climatological average of 18–19°C. Ensemble forecast models from European and global centers now converge on a peak near 27–29°C for May 18, with slight differences arising from the precise timing of cloud cover and the strength of the afternoon boundary-layer mixing. These small uncertainties in wind direction and insolation explain why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 28°C and 29°C while assigning lower weight to 30°C or higher, consistent with the narrow historical range for late-spring maxima at the VDNKh station. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour observation window will determine the exact outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 18. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 18. Mai?
29°C 34%
28°C 30%
30°C 20%
27°C 14%
NEU
$11,202 Vol.
NEU
$11,202 Vol.
18. Mai 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
14%
28°C
30%
29°C
34%
30°C
20%
31°C or higher
3%
29°C 34%
28°C 30%
30°C 20%
27°C 14%
NEU
$11,202 Vol.
NEU
$11,202 Vol.
18. Mai 2026
21°C or below
$870 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$533 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,146 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,696 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,974 Vol.
1%
26°C
$637 Vol.
4%
27°C
$498 Vol.
14%
28°C
$694 Vol.
30%
29°C
$526 Vol.
34%
30°C
$424 Vol.
20%
31°C or higher
$1,204 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official observations show Moscow reaching a high of 27.1°C on May 17, supported by southerly flow and high pressure that has elevated daytime temperatures above the mid-May climatological average of 18–19°C. Ensemble forecast models from European and global centers now converge on a peak near 27–29°C for May 18, with slight differences arising from the precise timing of cloud cover and the strength of the afternoon boundary-layer mixing. These small uncertainties in wind direction and insolation explain why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 28°C and 29°C while assigning lower weight to 30°C or higher, consistent with the narrow historical range for late-spring maxima at the VDNKh station. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour observation window will determine the exact outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$11,202Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official observations show Moscow reaching a high of 27.1°C on May 17, supported by southerly flow and high pressure that has elevated daytime temperatures above the mid-May climatological average of 18–19°C. Ensemble forecast models from European and global centers now converge on a peak near 27–29°C for May 18, with slight differences arising from the precise timing of cloud cover and the strength of the afternoon boundary-layer mixing. These small uncertainties in wind direction and insolation explain why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 28°C and 29°C while assigning lower weight to 30°C or higher, consistent with the narrow historical range for late-spring maxima at the VDNKh station. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour observation window will determine the exact outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$11,202Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent official observations show Moscow reaching a high of 27.1°C on May 17, supported by southerly flow and high pressure that has elevated daytime temperatures above the mid-May climatological average of 18–19°C. Ensemble forecast models from European and global centers now converge on a peak near 27–29°C for May 18, with slight differences arising from the precise timing of cloud cover and the strength of the afternoon boundary-layer mixing. These small uncertainties in wind direction and insolation explain why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 28°C and 29°C while assigning lower weight to 30°C or higher, consistent with the narrow historical range for late-spring maxima at the VDNKh station. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour observation window will determine the exact outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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