Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models show Munich under stable high pressure with southerly flow, supporting daytime maxima of 32–34°C on August 14 with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation probability. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 33°C (41%) and 34°C (31%), as historical August climatology in Bavaria rarely exceeds 35°C without stronger advection. Recent model runs have shown little shift in the 48-hour window, reinforcing trader consensus around this narrow range while noting that small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind could nudge outcomes toward 32°C or 35°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes.Höchste Temperatur in München am 14. August?
Höchste Temperatur in München am 14. August?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$88,096 Vol.
$88,096 Vol.
14. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$88,096 Vol.
$88,096 Vol.
14. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
$3,033 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,039 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,525 Vol.
No
31°C
$16,278 Vol.
No
32°C
$20,357 Vol.
No
33°C
$15,733 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$15,255 Vol.
No
35°C
$6,079 Vol.
No
36°C
$596 Vol.
No
37°C
$952 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$249 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models show Munich under stable high pressure with southerly flow, supporting daytime maxima of 32–34°C on August 14 with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation probability. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 33°C (41%) and 34°C (31%), as historical August climatology in Bavaria rarely exceeds 35°C without stronger advection. Recent model runs have shown little shift in the 48-hour window, reinforcing trader consensus around this narrow range while noting that small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind could nudge outcomes toward 32°C or 35°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$88,096Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models show Munich under stable high pressure with southerly flow, supporting daytime maxima of 32–34°C on August 14 with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation probability. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 33°C (41%) and 34°C (31%), as historical August climatology in Bavaria rarely exceeds 35°C without stronger advection. Recent model runs have shown little shift in the 48-hour window, reinforcing trader consensus around this narrow range while noting that small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind could nudge outcomes toward 32°C or 35°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$88,096Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models show Munich under stable high pressure with southerly flow, supporting daytime maxima of 32–34°C on August 14 with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation probability. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 33°C (41%) and 34°C (31%), as historical August climatology in Bavaria rarely exceeds 35°C without stronger advection. Recent model runs have shown little shift in the 48-hour window, reinforcing trader consensus around this narrow range while noting that small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind could nudge outcomes toward 32°C or 35°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes.
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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