Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daily maximum near 16°C for Paris today under a persistent maritime air mass featuring extensive low cloud cover and light west-southwest winds that suppress daytime heating. This setup aligns with the market’s overwhelming 98.9 percent implied probability for the 16°C bracket, as afternoon readings are projected to peak in the mid-teens before any potential late-day sun breaks. Historical May climatology shows average highs closer to 18°C, yet ongoing unstable conditions have kept temperatures suppressed relative to seasonal norms. Final official observations from Paris-Montsouris will determine resolution, with only brief clearing or stronger insolation likely to push readings into the 17°C range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 17. Mai?
16°C 98.8%
17°C 1.6%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$124,441 Vol.
$124,441 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
99%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 98.8%
17°C 1.6%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$124,441 Vol.
$124,441 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
99%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daily maximum near 16°C for Paris today under a persistent maritime air mass featuring extensive low cloud cover and light west-southwest winds that suppress daytime heating. This setup aligns with the market’s overwhelming 98.9 percent implied probability for the 16°C bracket, as afternoon readings are projected to peak in the mid-teens before any potential late-day sun breaks. Historical May climatology shows average highs closer to 18°C, yet ongoing unstable conditions have kept temperatures suppressed relative to seasonal norms. Final official observations from Paris-Montsouris will determine resolution, with only brief clearing or stronger insolation likely to push readings into the 17°C range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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