Current forecasts from Meteo France and European models indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping surface heating limited and positioning that outcome as the market leader at 52% implied probability. Mid-May climatology typically supports highs of 18–20°C, yet persistent cloud cover and a cooler Atlantic air mass have suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms, consistent with the 32.5% weighting on 15°C and limited 10% odds on 17°C. Official observations through midday confirm readings tracking close to model guidance, though afternoon clearing could allow brief warming; traders are monitoring updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents for any late shifts before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Paris am 17. Mai?
16°C 68%
15°C 18%
17°C 9%
18°C <1%
$87,137 Vol.
$87,137 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
18%
16°C
68%
17°C
9%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 68%
15°C 18%
17°C 9%
18°C <1%
$87,137 Vol.
$87,137 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,434 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,788 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$7,570 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$15,968 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$10,955 Vol.
18%
16°C
$11,883 Vol.
68%
17°C
$11,099 Vol.
9%
18°C
$9,258 Vol.
1%
19°C
$11,828 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$4,166 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Meteo France and European models indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping surface heating limited and positioning that outcome as the market leader at 52% implied probability. Mid-May climatology typically supports highs of 18–20°C, yet persistent cloud cover and a cooler Atlantic air mass have suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms, consistent with the 32.5% weighting on 15°C and limited 10% odds on 17°C. Official observations through midday confirm readings tracking close to model guidance, though afternoon clearing could allow brief warming; traders are monitoring updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents for any late shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$87,137Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Meteo France and European models indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping surface heating limited and positioning that outcome as the market leader at 52% implied probability. Mid-May climatology typically supports highs of 18–20°C, yet persistent cloud cover and a cooler Atlantic air mass have suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms, consistent with the 32.5% weighting on 15°C and limited 10% odds on 17°C. Official observations through midday confirm readings tracking close to model guidance, though afternoon clearing could allow brief warming; traders are monitoring updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents for any late shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$87,137Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent forecasts from Meteo France and European models indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping surface heating limited and positioning that outcome as the market leader at 52% implied probability. Mid-May climatology typically supports highs of 18–20°C, yet persistent cloud cover and a cooler Atlantic air mass have suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms, consistent with the 32.5% weighting on 15°C and limited 10% odds on 17°C. Official observations through midday confirm readings tracking close to model guidance, though afternoon clearing could allow brief warming; traders are monitoring updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents for any late shifts before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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