Recent forecast updates from European weather models and Météo-France show Paris under a stable cool air mass with mostly cloudy skies and limited sunshine, keeping the daily maximum firmly in the mid-teens Celsius. Afternoon readings are projected to peak near 16°C, consistent with the market’s dominant 93.5% implied probability for that outcome. Historical climatology for mid-May places average highs around 18°C, yet persistent instability earlier this week has suppressed temperatures. Key variables that could still shift the result include unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger insolation, which might push the high to 17°C, though current model consensus and observational trends make this unlikely before official daily maximum readings are finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Paris am 17. Mai?
16°C 95.4%
17°C 2.5%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$112,363 Vol.
$112,363 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
95%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 95.4%
17°C 2.5%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$112,363 Vol.
$112,363 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,434 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,788 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$7,621 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$16,118 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$15,245 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$17,963 Vol.
95%
17°C
$16,973 Vol.
3%
18°C
$14,783 Vol.
1%
19°C
$13,667 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$5,165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from European weather models and Météo-France show Paris under a stable cool air mass with mostly cloudy skies and limited sunshine, keeping the daily maximum firmly in the mid-teens Celsius. Afternoon readings are projected to peak near 16°C, consistent with the market’s dominant 93.5% implied probability for that outcome. Historical climatology for mid-May places average highs around 18°C, yet persistent instability earlier this week has suppressed temperatures. Key variables that could still shift the result include unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger insolation, which might push the high to 17°C, though current model consensus and observational trends make this unlikely before official daily maximum readings are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$112,363Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from European weather models and Météo-France show Paris under a stable cool air mass with mostly cloudy skies and limited sunshine, keeping the daily maximum firmly in the mid-teens Celsius. Afternoon readings are projected to peak near 16°C, consistent with the market’s dominant 93.5% implied probability for that outcome. Historical climatology for mid-May places average highs around 18°C, yet persistent instability earlier this week has suppressed temperatures. Key variables that could still shift the result include unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger insolation, which might push the high to 17°C, though current model consensus and observational trends make this unlikely before official daily maximum readings are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$112,363Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast updates from European weather models and Météo-France show Paris under a stable cool air mass with mostly cloudy skies and limited sunshine, keeping the daily maximum firmly in the mid-teens Celsius. Afternoon readings are projected to peak near 16°C, consistent with the market’s dominant 93.5% implied probability for that outcome. Historical climatology for mid-May places average highs around 18°C, yet persistent instability earlier this week has suppressed temperatures. Key variables that could still shift the result include unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger insolation, which might push the high to 17°C, though current model consensus and observational trends make this unlikely before official daily maximum readings are finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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