Recent European forecast models indicate a maximum temperature of 16–17°C in Paris on May 18 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light showers, keeping the leading 16°C outcome at 41% implied probability. Persistent Atlantic low-pressure influence advects cooler maritime air and limits daytime insolation, while variable cloud breaks could allow brief warming to 17°C or hold readings at 15°C depending on exact timing of any clearing. Historical May averages near 18°C provide context, yet this cooler pattern aligns with the past week’s below-normal conditions. Traders are monitoring the final Météo-France and ECMWF runs overnight for any last adjustments ahead of the daily high measurement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 18. Mai?
16°C 39%
15°C 33%
17°C 16%
14°C 5%
$20,534 Vol.
$20,534 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
33%
16°C
39%
17°C
16%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
16°C 39%
15°C 33%
17°C 16%
14°C 5%
$20,534 Vol.
$20,534 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
33%
16°C
39%
17°C
16%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent European forecast models indicate a maximum temperature of 16–17°C in Paris on May 18 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light showers, keeping the leading 16°C outcome at 41% implied probability. Persistent Atlantic low-pressure influence advects cooler maritime air and limits daytime insolation, while variable cloud breaks could allow brief warming to 17°C or hold readings at 15°C depending on exact timing of any clearing. Historical May averages near 18°C provide context, yet this cooler pattern aligns with the past week’s below-normal conditions. Traders are monitoring the final Météo-France and ECMWF runs overnight for any last adjustments ahead of the daily high measurement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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