Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C in Seoul on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow that limit both heating and cooling extremes. This consensus aligns with ensemble model runs showing limited variability in surface temperatures, placing the outcome well within the typical mid-May climatological range of 23–27°C for the region. While the market-implied odds reflect strong trader agreement backed by real capital, a sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or delayed onset of daytime heating could shift the observed high by 1–2°C and alter the resolution. Updated KMA briefings and real-time observations through the afternoon remain the key data points for any final adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul am 17. Mai?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$226,962 Vol.
$226,962 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$226,962 Vol.
$226,962 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C in Seoul on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow that limit both heating and cooling extremes. This consensus aligns with ensemble model runs showing limited variability in surface temperatures, placing the outcome well within the typical mid-May climatological range of 23–27°C for the region. While the market-implied odds reflect strong trader agreement backed by real capital, a sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or delayed onset of daytime heating could shift the observed high by 1–2°C and alter the resolution. Updated KMA briefings and real-time observations through the afternoon remain the key data points for any final adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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