Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, reinforced by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures, as the key driver pushing market-implied odds for a Seoul high of 25 °C or above to 79.5 %. Ensemble guidance from global models shows afternoon maxima likely settling in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology yet elevated by these persistent synoptic patterns. With resolution tomorrow, traders are monitoring the final model runs and any last-minute shifts in steering flow that could cap the peak just below the threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul am 18. Mai?
25°C or higher 81%
24°C 18%
23°C 3.5%
22°C <1%
$71,421 Vol.
$71,421 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
81%
25°C or higher 81%
24°C 18%
23°C 3.5%
22°C <1%
$71,421 Vol.
$71,421 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
81%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, reinforced by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures, as the key driver pushing market-implied odds for a Seoul high of 25 °C or above to 79.5 %. Ensemble guidance from global models shows afternoon maxima likely settling in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology yet elevated by these persistent synoptic patterns. With resolution tomorrow, traders are monitoring the final model runs and any last-minute shifts in steering flow that could cap the peak just below the threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen