Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and regional analyses show Tel Aviv highs stabilizing near 31–32°C on September 4, driven by persistent high pressure, light westerly sea breezes, and minimal cloud cover typical of early Mediterranean autumn. Recent observations confirm daytime peaks around 32°C with low humidity and stable steering patterns that limit intensification or rapid cooling. This consensus underpins the 69% market-implied probability for 32°C as the daily maximum, while smaller probabilities for 33°C or 31°C reflect minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and coastal effects. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range for the date against the absence of incoming fronts or heat domes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 4. September?
32°C 68%
33°C 16%
31°C 12%
30°C 8%
28°C oder niedriger
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
12%
32°C
68%
33°C
16%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 68%
33°C 16%
31°C 12%
30°C 8%
28°C oder niedriger
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
12%
32°C
68%
33°C
16%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and regional analyses show Tel Aviv highs stabilizing near 31–32°C on September 4, driven by persistent high pressure, light westerly sea breezes, and minimal cloud cover typical of early Mediterranean autumn. Recent observations confirm daytime peaks around 32°C with low humidity and stable steering patterns that limit intensification or rapid cooling. This consensus underpins the 69% market-implied probability for 32°C as the daily maximum, while smaller probabilities for 33°C or 31°C reflect minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and coastal effects. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range for the date against the absence of incoming fronts or heat domes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen