Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast, issued May 13 afternoon, projects a high of 13°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on May 14 amid persistent northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h, cloudy skies, and 40% chance of showers, capping temperatures below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 11°C (32% implied probability) over 12°C (27%) or 13°C (19%), reflecting uncertainty in forecast models where thicker cloud decks or enhanced shower activity from an upper-level trough could suppress daytime heating to 10-11°C, while partial clearing might permit 12-13°C peaks. Recent observations—12°C highs on May 12-13—underscore this cool pattern driven by northerly flow; hourly data tomorrow will clarify the outcome as boundary-layer mixing and insolation interact.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 14. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Toronto am 14. Mai?
11°C 32%
12°C 28%
13°C 19%
14°C oder höher 17%
$28,640 Vol.
$28,640 Vol.
4°C oder niedriger
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
12%
11°C
32%
12°C
28%
13°C
19%
14°C oder höher
17%
11°C 32%
12°C 28%
13°C 19%
14°C oder höher 17%
$28,640 Vol.
$28,640 Vol.
4°C oder niedriger
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
12%
11°C
32%
12°C
28%
13°C
19%
14°C oder höher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast, issued May 13 afternoon, projects a high of 13°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on May 14 amid persistent northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h, cloudy skies, and 40% chance of showers, capping temperatures below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 11°C (32% implied probability) over 12°C (27%) or 13°C (19%), reflecting uncertainty in forecast models where thicker cloud decks or enhanced shower activity from an upper-level trough could suppress daytime heating to 10-11°C, while partial clearing might permit 12-13°C peaks. Recent observations—12°C highs on May 12-13—underscore this cool pattern driven by northerly flow; hourly data tomorrow will clarify the outcome as boundary-layer mixing and insolation interact.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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