Recent observational data and forecast verification from meteorological agencies have aligned closely with a daily high of 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, driving the market-implied odds to full consensus on this outcome. Late-spring conditions in the region typically feature highs between 25°C and 29°C, supported by climatological baselines and current atmospheric stability that limits significant warming or cooling. Model runs show minimal divergence in steering patterns or moisture levels today, reinforcing trader confidence in this specific threshold. A sudden shift from an unforecasted frontal passage or post-event data revision could still alter the recorded maximum, though such changes remain improbable given the advanced stage of daily monitoring.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 17. Mai?
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,936 Vol.
$53,936 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,936 Vol.
$53,936 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHRecent observational data and forecast verification from meteorological agencies have aligned closely with a daily high of 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, driving the market-implied odds to full consensus on this outcome. Late-spring conditions in the region typically feature highs between 25°C and 29°C, supported by climatological baselines and current atmospheric stability that limits significant warming or cooling. Model runs show minimal divergence in steering patterns or moisture levels today, reinforcing trader confidence in this specific threshold. A sudden shift from an unforecasted frontal passage or post-event data revision could still alter the recorded maximum, though such changes remain improbable given the advanced stage of daily monitoring.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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