Latest ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models, including those of the China Meteorological Administration, converge on a daily maximum of 28–29 °C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that favors daytime warming amid partial cloud cover. This consensus underpins the market’s 55.5 % implied probability for exactly 28 °C and 30.5 % for 29 °C, reflecting traders’ assessment of limited intensification potential given stable steering patterns and modest moisture return. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 27–29 °C, providing additional context for the narrow probability distribution currently priced by the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 17. Mai?
28°C 57%
29°C 34%
30°C 4.5%
31°C <1%
$43,383 Vol.
$43,383 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
53%
29°C
34%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 57%
29°C 34%
30°C 4.5%
31°C <1%
$43,383 Vol.
$43,383 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
24°C or below
$3,314 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,402 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,975 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$13,430 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,174 Vol.
53%
29°C
$1,558 Vol.
34%
30°C
$2,152 Vol.
5%
31°C
$2,969 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5,530 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,610 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,354 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models, including those of the China Meteorological Administration, converge on a daily maximum of 28–29 °C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that favors daytime warming amid partial cloud cover. This consensus underpins the market’s 55.5 % implied probability for exactly 28 °C and 30.5 % for 29 °C, reflecting traders’ assessment of limited intensification potential given stable steering patterns and modest moisture return. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 27–29 °C, providing additional context for the narrow probability distribution currently priced by the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$43,383Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models, including those of the China Meteorological Administration, converge on a daily maximum of 28–29 °C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that favors daytime warming amid partial cloud cover. This consensus underpins the market’s 55.5 % implied probability for exactly 28 °C and 30.5 % for 29 °C, reflecting traders’ assessment of limited intensification potential given stable steering patterns and modest moisture return. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 27–29 °C, providing additional context for the narrow probability distribution currently priced by the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$43,383Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHLatest ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models, including those of the China Meteorological Administration, converge on a daily maximum of 28–29 °C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that favors daytime warming amid partial cloud cover. This consensus underpins the market’s 55.5 % implied probability for exactly 28 °C and 30.5 % for 29 °C, reflecting traders’ assessment of limited intensification potential given stable steering patterns and modest moisture return. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 27–29 °C, providing additional context for the narrow probability distribution currently priced by the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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