Official forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 12 indicate a maximum temperature near 25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, heavy rain, and thunderstorms that suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Meteorological models from agencies such as the Met Office project daytime highs of 23–25°C under these conditions, consistent with observed trends of lower temperatures during periods of significant precipitation compared to typical August climatology of 30–33°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 25°C reflects trader consensus on these stable forecast parameters and historical resolution patterns at the Xinzheng station. A shift to clearer skies or delayed rainfall could allow temperatures to exceed this range, though current model agreement makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 12. August?
25°C 99.5%
26°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$14,015 Vol.
$14,015 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.5%
26°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$14,015 Vol.
$14,015 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 12 indicate a maximum temperature near 25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, heavy rain, and thunderstorms that suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Meteorological models from agencies such as the Met Office project daytime highs of 23–25°C under these conditions, consistent with observed trends of lower temperatures during periods of significant precipitation compared to typical August climatology of 30–33°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 25°C reflects trader consensus on these stable forecast parameters and historical resolution patterns at the Xinzheng station. A shift to clearer skies or delayed rainfall could allow temperatures to exceed this range, though current model agreement makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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