Sustained growth in interior enforcement under the second Trump administration has driven ICE removals to annual rates exceeding 400,000, supported by expanded detention capacity, higher arrest volumes, and new funding through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Current daily removal averages of 1,200–1,400 place full-year 2026 totals most likely in the 400,000–500,000 range, though shortfalls from the administration’s one-million target reflect ongoing constraints including immigration court backlogs, limited repatriation agreements, and processing bottlenecks. The narrow gap between the leading 300,000–400,000 and 400,000–500,000 buckets captures uncertainty over whether additional staffing and facility expansions will accelerate removals further or whether logistical and legal limits will cap growth near recent levels.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie viele Menschen wird Trump 2026 abschieben?
400.000-500.000 30%
300-400k 29%
200-300 Tausend 17%
500-600 Tausend 5.9%
$105,336 Vol.
$105,336 Vol.
<200.000
2%
200-300 Tausend
17%
300-400k
29%
400.000-500.000
30%
500-600 Tausend
6%
600-700 Tausend
1%
700-800 Tausend
1%
800-900k
1%
900.000–1 Mio.
1%
>1 Mio.
1%
400.000-500.000 30%
300-400k 29%
200-300 Tausend 17%
500-600 Tausend 5.9%
$105,336 Vol.
$105,336 Vol.
<200.000
2%
200-300 Tausend
17%
300-400k
29%
400.000-500.000
30%
500-600 Tausend
6%
600-700 Tausend
1%
700-800 Tausend
1%
800-900k
1%
900.000–1 Mio.
1%
>1 Mio.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sustained growth in interior enforcement under the second Trump administration has driven ICE removals to annual rates exceeding 400,000, supported by expanded detention capacity, higher arrest volumes, and new funding through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Current daily removal averages of 1,200–1,400 place full-year 2026 totals most likely in the 400,000–500,000 range, though shortfalls from the administration’s one-million target reflect ongoing constraints including immigration court backlogs, limited repatriation agreements, and processing bottlenecks. The narrow gap between the leading 300,000–400,000 and 400,000–500,000 buckets captures uncertainty over whether additional staffing and facility expansions will accelerate removals further or whether logistical and legal limits will cap growth near recent levels.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen