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icon for Israel-Wahl: Religiöse zionistische Partei - Zehut-Stimmenanteil?
Welt·Israel

Israel-Wahl: Religiöse zionistische Partei - Zehut-Stimmenanteil?

icon for Israel-Wahl: Religiöse zionistische Partei - Zehut-Stimmenanteil?
Welt·Israel

Israel-Wahl: Religiöse zionistische Partei - Zehut-Stimmenanteil?

6 %+  37%

3,25-4% 29%

5–6 % 28%

4-5 % 24%

Polymarket
NEU

6 %+  37%

3,25-4% 29%

5–6 % 28%

4-5 % 24%

Polymarket
NEU

<3,25 %

$625 Vol.

12%

3,25-4%

$0 Vol.

29%

4-5 %

$119 Vol.

31%

5–6 %

$31 Vol.

25%

6 %+

$534 Vol.

25%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The tight distribution of probabilities across 3.25–6%+ ranges for the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut technical bloc reflects ongoing volatility in right-wing voter consolidation ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset election. The bloc, formed in early September after separate polling showed the Religious Zionist Party near or below the 3.25% threshold, competes for nationalist and religious Zionist support against parties such as Amcha Yisrael and other splinter lists that draw from similar bases. Recent polls have projected the combined list at roughly 4–8 seats (approximately 3.3–6.7% vote share), with results fluctuating based on turnout among religious voters, surplus vote agreements, and Netanyahu-aligned efforts to unify the bloc. Late-campaign shifts in these dynamics could separate the leading ranges before final results determine resolution.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.

The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.

If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volumen
$1,308
Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 2:39 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.bechirot.gov.il/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The tight distribution of probabilities across 3.25–6%+ ranges for the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut technical bloc reflects ongoing volatility in right-wing voter consolidation ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset election. The bloc, formed in early September after separate polling showed the Religious Zionist Party near or below the 3.25% threshold, competes for nationalist and religious Zionist support against parties such as Amcha Yisrael and other splinter lists that draw from similar bases. Recent polls have projected the combined list at roughly 4–8 seats (approximately 3.3–6.7% vote share), with results fluctuating based on turnout among religious voters, surplus vote agreements, and Netanyahu-aligned efforts to unify the bloc. Late-campaign shifts in these dynamics could separate the leading ranges before final results determine resolution.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.

The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.

If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volumen
$1,308
Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 2:39 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.bechirot.gov.il/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

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Wird RZP-Zehut bei den Knesset-Wahlen 2026 6-7 Sitze gewinnen?

53%
Ja
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Wird Otzma Yehudit bei den Knesset-Wahlen 2026 4,5-5,5 % der Stimmen erhalten?

32%
Ja
icon for Wird Yisrael Beiteinu bei den Knesset-Wahlen 2026 6-7 % der Stimmen gewinnen?

Wird Yisrael Beiteinu bei den Knesset-Wahlen 2026 6-7 % der Stimmen gewinnen?

46%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

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