Recent forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Amsterdam's minimum temperature on September 6 likely falling between 11–14°C, driven by a weakening high-pressure system allowing gradual cooling under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Clearer conditions overnight could push the low toward 11°C by enhancing radiational cooling, while increased cloud cover or a modest wind shift might hold it near 13–14°C. These closely matched market probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture and advection from the North Sea can shift the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places the average low at 11.7°C, providing context for the current tight distribution ahead of updated model guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 6. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 6. September?
14°C 48%
15°C 31%
12°C 27%
11°C 26%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
8°C oder darunter
7%
9°C
8%
10°C
19%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
24%
14°C
48%
15°C
31%
16°C
15%
17°C
3%
18°C oder höher
1%
14°C 48%
15°C 31%
12°C 27%
11°C 26%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
8°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
7%
9°C
$0 Vol.
8%
10°C
$0 Vol.
19%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
24%
14°C
$0 Vol.
48%
15°C
$0 Vol.
31%
16°C
$0 Vol.
15%
17°C
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Amsterdam's minimum temperature on September 6 likely falling between 11–14°C, driven by a weakening high-pressure system allowing gradual cooling under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Clearer conditions overnight could push the low toward 11°C by enhancing radiational cooling, while increased cloud cover or a modest wind shift might hold it near 13–14°C. These closely matched market probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture and advection from the North Sea can shift the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places the average low at 11.7°C, providing context for the current tight distribution ahead of updated model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Amsterdam's minimum temperature on September 6 likely falling between 11–14°C, driven by a weakening high-pressure system allowing gradual cooling under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Clearer conditions overnight could push the low toward 11°C by enhancing radiational cooling, while increased cloud cover or a modest wind shift might hold it near 13–14°C. These closely matched market probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture and advection from the North Sea can shift the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places the average low at 11.7°C, providing context for the current tight distribution ahead of updated model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Amsterdam's minimum temperature on September 6 likely falling between 11–14°C, driven by a weakening high-pressure system allowing gradual cooling under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Clearer conditions overnight could push the low toward 11°C by enhancing radiational cooling, while increased cloud cover or a modest wind shift might hold it near 13–14°C. These closely matched market probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture and advection from the North Sea can shift the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places the average low at 11.7°C, providing context for the current tight distribution ahead of updated model guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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