Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical models point to a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 13 amid stable subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity that limits overnight radiative cooling. Persistent easterly flow and minimal cloud cover overnight have kept temperatures from dropping further, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. Historical September minima average near 25–26°C, but the current setup lacks the typical cooling influences from passing troughs or stronger monsoon surges. Late-evening observations or any unexpected convective activity could still shift the recorded low, though model consensus remains tightly clustered around 27°C with low uncertainty in the final hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 13. September?
27°C 99.0%
26°C 8.7%
25°C <1%
22°C oder weniger <1%
$20,928 Vol.
$20,928 Vol.
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 99.0%
26°C 8.7%
25°C <1%
22°C oder weniger <1%
$20,928 Vol.
$20,928 Vol.
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical models point to a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 13 amid stable subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity that limits overnight radiative cooling. Persistent easterly flow and minimal cloud cover overnight have kept temperatures from dropping further, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. Historical September minima average near 25–26°C, but the current setup lacks the typical cooling influences from passing troughs or stronger monsoon surges. Late-evening observations or any unexpected convective activity could still shift the recorded low, though model consensus remains tightly clustered around 27°C with low uncertainty in the final hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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